Swedru All Blacks v Ashanti Gold prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Swedru All BlacksDrawAshanti Gold

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Swedru All Blacks 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Swedru All Blacks are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Swedru All Blacks 55%, draw 25%, Ashanti Gold 20%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Swedru All Blacks v Ashanti GoldBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Swedru All Blacks win55%

Draw25%

Ashanti Gold win20%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueSwedru Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Swedru All Blacks

Ashanti Gold

12Days since last match12

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Swedru All Blacks	7	+2	11
10	Ashanti Gold	7	+1	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · swedru all blacks winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Swedru All Blacks a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Swedru All Blacks v Ashanti Gold~~1.42 – 0.72

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 10~~7 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Swedru All Blacks win	55%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Ashanti Gold win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Swedru All Blacks or draw	80%	–	–
Swedru All Blacks clean sheet	49%	–	–
Ashanti Gold clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.7%

0123450 11.1 9.6 3.1 1 17.7 10.7 4.2 2 11.7 8.2 3.0 3 5.6 4.0 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Swedru All Blacks down, Ashanti Gold across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,575 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 39.1% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Swedru All Blacks at home: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Ashanti Gold away: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Swedru All Blacks, 0.72 for Ashanti Gold. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 12 Sept

SWEDRU ALL BLACKS

WDDLWW1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0

ASHANTI GOLD

WLWLWL3–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hearts of Oak	8	+7	17
2	Medeama	7	+6	14
3	Samartex	7	+4	14
4	Aduana Stars	7	+3	13
5	Basake Holy Stars	8	−3	12
6	Port City	7	+3	11
7	Swedru All Blacks	7	+2	11
8	Asante Kotoko	7	0	11
9	Berekum Chelsea	7	+1	10
10	Ashanti Gold	7	+1	10
11	Bechem United	7	−1	10
12	Karela	7	−2	9
13	Heart of Lions	7	−3	8
14	Debibi United	7	−2	7
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	7	−2	7
16	Young Apostles	7	−7	6
17	Vision	7	−2	6
18	Dreams	7	−5	3