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Swedru All Blacks v Asante Kotoko

Swedru All Blacks

1–0Full time

Asante Kotoko

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT · Swedru Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32

Swedru All Blacks 1–0 Asante Kotoko SWEDRU ALL BLACKS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Swedru All Blacks win~~49%

~~The market said~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.389

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.559

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Swedru All Blacks win at 49%.
1′KICK-OFF Swedru All Blacks v Asante Kotoko
3′Much as we predicted: Swedru All Blacks was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–31–21
31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Asante Kotoko
40′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Asante Kotoko
45′HALF-TIME Swedru All Blacks 0–0 Asante Kotoko
46′SECOND HALF Swedru All Blacks 0–0 Asante Kotoko
55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Swedru All Blacks
90′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Asante Kotoko
90′🟨 YELLOW · 95' Asante Kotoko
90′⚽ GOAL · 96' Swedru All Blacks 1–0 Asante Kotoko
FTFULL TIME Swedru All Blacks 1–0 Asante Kotoko
FTSwedru All Blacks 1–0 Asante Kotoko · Swedru All Blacks win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Swedru All Blacks win49%

Draw28%

Asante Kotoko win22%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

Venue · Swedru Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Swedru All Blacks

Formation not confirmed

16 M. Appiah

6 C. Tutu

23 L. Blessing

24 D. Sowah

39 M. Abrokwa

3 R. Leveh

37 F. Charwetey

45 W. Danquah

32 E. W. Darkwah

18 J. Andoh

17 M. Salis

Coach · –

Substitutes

7 · K. Baffoe

12 · C. Aryee

14 · P. Arthur

21 · E. Essoun

35 · G. Yartey

13 · B. Stephen

42 · S. O. Akoto

36 · K. Ampoful

28 · V. Baah

Asante Kotoko

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Aziz

5 M. Hamzata

12 E. Sanja

17 P. Aseidu

26 J. Amoah

6 R. Boadu

8 L. H. Adabo

10 H. Gyau

14 O. Agyemang

11 E. Gbetta

18 E. Mamah

Coach · Karim Zito Abdul

Substitutes

22 · M. Abdelwadie

4 · K. Bini

21 · A. Abu

13 · W. Fuseini

20 · S. Kwadwo

30 · J. K. Manu L.

40 · E. Antwi

19 · I. Adam

23 · S. Asaah

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Swedru All Blacks

Formation not confirmed

16 M. Appiah

6 C. Tutu

23 L. Blessing

24 D. Sowah

39 M. Abrokwa

3 R. Leveh

37 F. Charwetey

45 W. Danquah

32 E. W. Darkwah

18 J. Andoh

17 M. Salis

Coach · –

Substitutes

7 · K. Baffoe

12 · C. Aryee

14 · P. Arthur

21 · E. Essoun

35 · G. Yartey

13 · B. Stephen

42 · S. O. Akoto

36 · K. Ampoful

28 · V. Baah

Asante Kotoko

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Aziz

5 M. Hamzata

12 E. Sanja

17 P. Aseidu

26 J. Amoah

6 R. Boadu

8 L. H. Adabo

10 H. Gyau

14 O. Agyemang

11 E. Gbetta

18 E. Mamah

Coach · Karim Zito Abdul

Substitutes

22 · M. Abdelwadie

4 · K. Bini

21 · A. Abu

13 · W. Fuseini

20 · S. Kwadwo

30 · J. K. Manu L.

40 · E. Antwi

19 · I. Adam

23 · S. Asaah

Our number · swedru all blacks winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

49% The market39%

Us49%

~~Market~~39%

We make Swedru All Blacks a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · swedru all blacks win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Swedru All Blacks win	49%	39%	+10
Draw	28%	32%	−3
Asante Kotoko win	22%	29%	−7
Over 2.5 goals	30%	35%	−5
Both teams to score	35%	43%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	56%	61%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	13%	17%	−4
Swedru All Blacks or draw	78%	71%	+7
Swedru All Blacks clean sheet	50%	–	–
Asante Kotoko clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.6%

0123450 13.9 11.2 3.7 1 18.6 11.5 4.4 2 10.8 7.5 2.7 3 4.4 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Swedru All Blacks down, Asante Kotoko across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,556 Premier League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.4% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Swedru All Blacks at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Asante Kotoko away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Swedru All Blacks, 0.71 for Asante Kotoko. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ASA 1–2 SWE · SWE 2–1 ASA

Form · last six in Premier League

SWEDRU ALL BLACKS

WLWDDL2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

ASANTE KOTOKO

LDWDLW1–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Medeama	5	+5	11
2	Samartex	5	+4	11
3	Port City	5	+4	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	+3	10
5	Basake Holy Stars	5	−1	9
6	Hearts of Oak	5	+4	8
7	Heart of Lions	5	+1	8
8	Asante Kotoko	5	0	8
9	Ashanti Gold	5	+1	7
10	Bechem United	5	−2	7
11	Vision	5	+1	6
12	Karela	5	−1	6
13	Swedru All Blacks	5	−1	5
14	Debibi United	5	0	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	−3	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	−4	4
17	Young Apostles	5	−7	3
18	Dreams	5	−4	2