Hearts of Oak v Port City prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Hearts of Oak 1–0 Port City HEARTS OF OAK WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Hearts of Oak win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.316

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hearts of Oak win at 55%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Hearts of Oak 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–31–15
1′KICK-OFF Hearts of Oak v Port City
2′Little has changed for our model: Hearts of Oak 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–31–15
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Hearts of Oak 1–0 Port City
22′Hearts of Oak find the net on 20′. 1–0. 1–0 · 86–12–2
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Hearts of Oak win: 55% at kick-off, 86% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Hearts of Oak win: 55% at kick-off, 54% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Hearts of Oak win: 55% at kick-off, 54% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Hearts of Oak win: 55% at kick-off, 86% now
24′Hearts of Oak find the net on 20′. 1–0. 1–0 · 86–12–2
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Hearts of Oak win: 55% at kick-off, 86% now
39′SUBSTITUTION · 27' Port City · On: S. Aryee Baabu · Off: M. Ankumah-Ansah
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Hearts of Oak win: 55% at kick-off, 86% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Hearts of Oak win: 55% at kick-off, 86% now
45′HALF-TIME Hearts of Oak 1–0 Port City
46′SECOND HALF Hearts of Oak 1–0 Port City
47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Port City
76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Hearts of Oak
90′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Hearts of Oak
FTFULL TIME Hearts of Oak 1–0 Port City
FTHearts of Oak 1–0 Port City · Hearts of Oak win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Hearts of Oak win55%

Draw29%

Port City win16%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

VenueWAFA Park

Line-ups

Hearts of Oak

Port City

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hearts of Oak

Port City

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Port City	5	+4	10
6	Hearts of Oak	5	+4	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hearts of Oak

Formation not confirmed

16 B. Asare

4 A. Mohammed

13 R. Mensah

24 M. O. Djan

6 Z. Suraj

10 R. Amponsah

15 D. Nsobila

17 K. Kourouma

9 F. Duku

21 K. B. Henry

25 C. Koranteng

Coach · –

Substitutes

33 · S. Shuaib

2 · P. Amevor

23 · F. Atobah

30 · A. Adam

37 · G. Cudjoe

8 · K. Asmah

18 · A. Karim

34 · R. Kyeremeh

Port City

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Amissah

12 S. Gyimah

39 O. Ansah

40 R. Gyamfi

4 M. Ankumah-Ansah

8 G. Waja

25 H. Zakari

28 D. Osei

35 I. Mensah

42 E. Intori

9 F. Gyetuah

Coach · –

Substitutes

33 · B. Ghartey

24 · A. Palas

27 · Y. Amissah

3 · K. A. Meider

10 · S. Diyou

17 · A. Boateng

31 · S. Aryee Baabu

11 · D. Rakibu

Our number · hearts of oak winPublished 11 Oct 16:05

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Hearts of Oak a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 23%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hearts of Oak win	55%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Port City win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	24%	–	–
Both teams to score	26%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	50%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	9%	–	–
Hearts of Oak or draw	84%	–	–
Hearts of Oak clean sheet	62%	–	–
Port City clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 22.8%

0123450 17.8 9.7 2.2 1 22.8 9.9 2.6 2 13.3 6.4 3 5.4 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hearts of Oak down, Port City across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,557 Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.5% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Hearts of Oak at home: 1.50 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Port City away: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Hearts of Oak, 0.49 for Port City. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Premier League

HEARTS OF OAK

WWWDLD4–2 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–0

PORT CITY

DWWLW1–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Medeama	5	+5	11
2	Samartex	5	+4	11
3	Port City	5	+4	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	+3	10
5	Basake Holy Stars	5	−1	9
6	Hearts of Oak	5	+4	8
7	Heart of Lions	5	+1	8
8	Swedru All Blacks	6	0	8
9	Asante Kotoko	6	−1	8
10	Ashanti Gold	5	+1	7
11	Bechem United	5	−2	7
12	Vision	5	+1	6
13	Karela	5	−1	6
14	Debibi United	5	0	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	−3	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	−4	4
17	Young Apostles	5	−7	3
18	Dreams	5	−4	2