Dreams v Vision prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

DreamsDrawVision

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dreams 63%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dreams are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dreams 63%, draw 21%, Vision 16%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Dreams v VisionBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Dreams win63%

Draw21%

Vision win16%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueTuba Astro Turf

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dreams

Vision

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Vision	7	−2	6
18	Dreams	7	−5	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dreams winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Dreams a 63% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dreams v Vision~~1.75 – 0.71

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D3 L3 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 3 v 6~~18 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dreams win	63%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Vision win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Dreams or draw	84%	–	–
Dreams clean sheet	49%	–	–
Vision clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.9%

0123450 7.8 7.1 2.2 1 15.9 9.6 3.8 2 12.9 9.1 3.2 3 7.5 5.3 4 3.4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dreams down, Vision across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,575 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 39.1% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.25 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dreams at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Vision away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Dreams, 0.71 for Vision. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~VIS 2–2 DRE · DRE 1–1 VIS · DRE 1–1 VIS · VIS 0–1 DRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 12 Sept

DREAMS

LDLDLD2–3 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

VISION

LDDDLL1–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–4 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hearts of Oak	8	+7	17
2	Medeama	7	+6	14
3	Samartex	7	+4	14
4	Aduana Stars	7	+3	13
5	Basake Holy Stars	8	−3	12
6	Port City	7	+3	11
7	Swedru All Blacks	7	+2	11
8	Asante Kotoko	7	0	11
9	Berekum Chelsea	7	+1	10
10	Ashanti Gold	7	+1	10
11	Bechem United	7	−1	10
12	Karela	7	−2	9
13	Heart of Lions	7	−3	8
14	Debibi United	7	−2	7
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	7	−2	7
16	Young Apostles	7	−7	6
17	Vision	7	−2	6
18	Dreams	7	−5	3