Debibi United v Bibiani Gold Stars prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:32

Debibi United 1–0 Bibiani Gold Stars DEBIBI UNITED WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Debibi United win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.362

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Debibi United win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: Debibi United was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
1′KICK-OFF Debibi United v Bibiani Gold Stars
5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Debibi United
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Debibi United win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
41′We said Debibi United at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
45′HALF-TIME Debibi United 1–0 Bibiani Gold Stars
46′A goal for Debibi United on 45′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–16–4
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Debibi United win 37%)
46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Debibi United 1–0 Bibiani Gold Stars
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Debibi United win: 51% at kick-off, 80% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Debibi United win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 16%)
46′SECOND HALF Debibi United 1–0 Bibiani Gold Stars
47′We published Debibi United at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
47′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 80–16–4
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+4' Debibi United win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Debibi United
64′We published Debibi United at 51%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
76′We published Debibi United at 51%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Debibi United win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
84′We published Debibi United at 51%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Debibi United
FTFULL TIME Debibi United 1–0 Bibiani Gold Stars
FTDebibi United 1–0 Bibiani Gold Stars · Debibi United win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Debibi United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Debibi United 51%, draw 25%, Bibiani Gold Stars 24%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Debibi United v Bibiani Gold StarsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Debibi United win51%

Draw25%

Bibiani Gold Stars win24%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueGolden City Park

Line-ups

Debibi United

Bibiani Gold Stars

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Debibi United

Bibiani Gold Stars

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Bibiani Gold Stars	6	−1	7
17	Debibi United	6	−3	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Debibi United

Formation not confirmed

12 T. Boahen

40 B. Sule

2 K. Henaku

4 M. Agyemang

7 K. O. Junior

9 D. Sarkodie

15 Y. Malik

18 R. Owusu

20 C. Nketiah

25 T. Quenin

27 I. Alhassan

Coach · –

Substitutes

3 · M. Owusu

5 · N. Akwasi

10 · E. Asamoah

16 · J. Nettey

24 · K. Antwi

28 · D. Amosah

30 · B. Kofi

32 · I. Fordjour

35 · W. Zakari

Bibiani Gold Stars

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Kobi

44 K. Oppong

3 S. Acheampong

25 C. S. Borrtey

4 P. Dogbe

26 B. Boakye Kyereh

19 K. R. Amon

30 B. Kesse

9 R. Sanou

10 M. Nkoah

33 K. Opoku

Coach · Frimpong Manso

Substitutes

76 · J. Annobil Joy

18 · E. Kontor

17 · J. Arthur

24 · P. Ofori

34 · Abina

12 · E. Agyei

21 · E. Adomako

8 · I. Adjetey

Our number · debibi united winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Debibi United a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Debibi United v Bibiani Gold Stars~~1.41 – 0.86

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 4 v 7~~17 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Debibi United win	51%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Bibiani Gold Stars win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Debibi United or draw	76%	–	–
Debibi United clean sheet	43%	–	–
Bibiani Gold Stars clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.6%

0123450 9.5 10.0 3.8 1 15.6 11.3 5.3 2 10.2 8.7 3.7 3 4.9 4.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Debibi United down, Bibiani Gold Stars across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,567 Premier League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.1% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Debibi United at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). Bibiani Gold Stars away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for Debibi United, 0.86 for Bibiani Gold Stars. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 6 Sept

DEBIBI UNITED

DLWLLL2–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–3

BIBIANI GOLD STARS

LLWLDW0–1 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Medeama	6	+7	14
2	Hearts of Oak	7	+6	14
3	Samartex	6	+3	11
4	Port City	6	+3	10
5	Ashanti Gold	6	+2	10
6	Aduana Stars	6	+2	10
7	Berekum Chelsea	7	+1	10
8	Bechem United	6	0	10
9	Karela	6	0	9
10	Basake Holy Stars	6	−3	9
11	Swedru All Blacks	6	0	8
12	Asante Kotoko	6	−1	8
13	Heart of Lions	7	−3	8
14	Bibiani Gold Stars	6	−1	7
15	Young Apostles	6	−6	6
16	Vision	7	−2	6
17	Debibi United	6	−3	4
18	Dreams	6	−5	2