Ashanti Gold v Samartex prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Ashanti Gold 1–0 Samartex ASHANTI GOLD WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Ashanti Gold win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.340

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Ashanti Gold win52%

Draw26%

Samartex win21%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

VenueLen Clay Stadium

Line-ups

Ashanti Gold

Samartex

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ashanti Gold

Samartex

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Samartex	5	+4	11
10	Ashanti Gold	5	+1	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Ashanti Gold

Formation not confirmed

33 F. Seidu

2 I. Issa

4 K. Twumasi

52 E. Antwi

11 E. Amakye

23 S. Fosu

27 J. Boazee

28 A. Yeboah

31 M. Owusu

13 F. Twumasi

18 R. Kwame Junior Ankamah

Coach · –

Substitutes

21 · C. Addai

36 · E. Boateng

8 · F. Ameyaw

26 · A. Razak Nuhu

44 · K. Bannor

5 · A. Osman

7 · R. Fosu

10 · A. Yakubu

16 · Z. Musah

Samartex

Formation not confirmed

16 M. Zakari

17 I. Afful

28 J. Nsenkyire

32 J. Sewornu

2 M. Adjetey

5 S. Kyei

10 J. Fuseini

14 A. Sarpong

19 C. Boateng

24 E. Essien

9 G. Osei

Coach · Christopher Ennin

Substitutes

1 · S. R. Issah

23 · R. Grippman

25 · A. Amoako

3 · J. Bediako

6 · A. Latif

20 · E. K. Asamoah

12 · G. Sefah

18 · E. Okrah

29 · H. Musah

Our number · ashanti gold winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Ashanti Gold a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ashanti Gold win	52%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Samartex win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Ashanti Gold or draw	79%	–	–
Ashanti Gold clean sheet	49%	–	–
Samartex clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.8%

0123450 12.1 10.0 3.3 1 17.8 11.1 4.3 2 11.3 8.0 2.9 3 5.2 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ashanti Gold down, Samartex across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,557 Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.5% of games this season, across 46 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Ashanti Gold at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Samartex away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Ashanti Gold, 0.72 for Samartex. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Premier League

ASHANTI GOLD

DDWLWL2–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–3

SAMARTEX

LWWDDW0–2 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Medeama	5	+5	11
2	Samartex	5	+4	11
3	Port City	5	+4	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	+3	10
5	Basake Holy Stars	5	−1	9
6	Hearts of Oak	5	+4	8
7	Heart of Lions	5	+1	8
8	Swedru All Blacks	6	0	8
9	Asante Kotoko	6	−1	8
10	Ashanti Gold	5	+1	7
11	Bechem United	5	−2	7
12	Vision	5	+1	6
13	Karela	5	−1	6
14	Debibi United	5	0	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	−3	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	−4	4
17	Young Apostles	5	−7	3
18	Dreams	5	−4	2