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Asante Kotoko v Young Apostles
Asante Kotoko
Young ApostlesPremier League · SUN 18 OCT · Baba Yara Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Asante Kotoko win at 64%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Asante Kotoko 64% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–23–14
- 1′KICK-OFF Asante Kotoko v Young Apostles
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Asante Kotoko win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
- 33′We said Asante Kotoko at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 52–34–13
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Young Apostles
- 39′We said Asante Kotoko at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–37–13
- 45′HALF-TIME Asante Kotoko 0–0 Young Apostles
- 46′SECOND HALF Asante Kotoko 0–0 Young Apostles
- 49′We said Asante Kotoko at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–44–12
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Asante Kotoko win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Asante Kotoko win 41%)
- 56′We said Asante Kotoko at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–49–11
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Young Apostles
- 63′We said Asante Kotoko at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–56–10
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Asante Kotoko win: 64% at kick-off, 34% now
- 68′We said Asante Kotoko at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–61–9
- 71′Asante Kotoko find the net on 70′. 1–0. 1–0 · 92–8–1
- 71′We said Asante Kotoko at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 1–0 · 92–8–1
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Asante Kotoko 1–0 Young Apostles
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Asante Kotoko win: 64% at kick-off, 92% now
- 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Asante Kotoko win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 8%)
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Asante Kotoko win: 64% at kick-off, 94% now
- 80′We said Asante Kotoko at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 82′A goal for Asante Kotoko on 82′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 82′We said Asante Kotoko at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Asante Kotoko 2–0 Young Apostles
- 83′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 93′Young Apostles score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Asante Kotoko 2–1 Young Apostles
- 94′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
- 94′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+4' Young Apostles
- FTFULL TIME Asante Kotoko 2–1 Young Apostles
- FTAsante Kotoko 2–1 Young Apostles · Asante Kotoko win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Asante Kotoko are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Asante Kotoko 64%, draw 22%, Young Apostles 14%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 34%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Asante Kotoko win64%
Young Apostles win14%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 7
VenueBaba Yara Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Asante KotokoMIN
Young ApostlesEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Asante Kotoko
Young Apostles
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Asante Kotoko
Young Apostles
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Asante Kotoko
Formation not confirmed
1 D. Aziz
5 M. Hamzata
21 A. Abu
26 J. Amoah
17 P. Aseidu
8 L. H. Adabo
35 J. K. Manu L.
14 O. Agyemang
19 I. Adam
11 E. Gbetta
18 E. Mamah
Coach · Karim Zito Abdul
Substitutes
4 · K. Bini
2 · E. Sanja
20 · S. Kwadwo
40 · E. Antwi
39 · D. A. Duah
23 · S. Asaah
28 · W. Fuseini
10 · H. Gyau
Young Apostles
Formation not confirmed
16 O. Wahabu
25 M. Amegbe
4 I. Nyaabila
24 M. Illiasu
44 E. Owusu
8 R. Abubakar
6 S. Adamu
5 A. G. Muftaw
11 H. Issah
21 S. Prempeh
40 R. Opoku
Coach · –
Substitutes
23 · S. Issah
12 · M. Musah
33 · F. Agyarko
20 · J. Afram
28 · A. Seidu
10 · I. Huziaf
60 · E. Abuu
19 · A. F. Salifu
13 · B. Twum
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Asante Kotoko
Formation not confirmed
1 D. Aziz
5 M. Hamzata
21 A. Abu
26 J. Amoah
17 P. Aseidu
8 L. H. Adabo
35 J. K. Manu L.
14 O. Agyemang
19 I. Adam
11 E. Gbetta
18 E. Mamah
Coach · Karim Zito Abdul
Substitutes
4 · K. Bini
2 · E. Sanja
20 · S. Kwadwo
40 · E. Antwi
39 · D. A. Duah
23 · S. Asaah
28 · W. Fuseini
10 · H. Gyau
Young Apostles
Formation not confirmed
16 O. Wahabu
25 M. Amegbe
4 I. Nyaabila
24 M. Illiasu
44 E. Owusu
8 R. Abubakar
6 S. Adamu
5 A. G. Muftaw
11 H. Issah
21 S. Prempeh
40 R. Opoku
Coach · –
Substitutes
23 · S. Issah
12 · M. Musah
33 · F. Agyarko
20 · J. Afram
28 · A. Seidu
10 · I. Huziaf
60 · E. Abuu
19 · A. F. Salifu
13 · B. Twum
We make Asante Kotoko a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asante Kotoko win | 64% | 70% | −6 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Young Apostles win | 14% | 7% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 40% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 34% | 29% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 65% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 21% | −2 |
| Asante Kotoko or draw | 86% | 93% | −7 |
| Asante Kotoko clean sheet | 56% | – | – |
| Young Apostles clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 5 Sept
ASANTE KOTOKO
YOUNG APOSTLES
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 6 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 7 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Samartex | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 | Port City | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Ashanti Gold | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Berekum Chelsea | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Bechem United | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Karela | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Basake Holy Stars | 6 | −3 | 9 |
| 11 | Swedru All Blacks | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Asante Kotoko | 6 | −1 | 8 |
| 13 | Heart of Lions | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 6 | −1 | 7 |
| 15 | Young Apostles | 6 | −6 | 6 |
| 16 | Vision | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 17 | Debibi United | 6 | −3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dreams | 6 | −5 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Medeama
Hearts of Oak
Samartex
Port City
Ashanti Gold
Aduana Stars
Berekum Chelsea
Bechem United
Karela
Basake Holy Stars
Swedru All Blacks
Heart of Lions
Bibiani Gold Stars
Vision
Debibi United
Dreams