Home › Football › U19 Bundesliga › Holstein Kiel U19 v Werder Bremen U19

Holstein Kiel U19 v Werder Bremen U19

Holstein Kiel U19

2–4Full time

Werder Bremen U19

U19 Bundesliga · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Holstein Kiel U19 2–4 Werder Bremen U19 WERDER BREMEN U19 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Werder Bremen U19 win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.359

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Werder Bremen U19 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Holstein Kiel U19 28%, draw 20%, Werder Bremen U19 51%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Holstein Kiel U19 v Werder Bremen U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Holstein Kiel U19 win28%

Draw20%

Werder Bremen U19 win51%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundPreliminary

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Holstein Kiel U19

Werder Bremen U19

7Days since last match21

Last match: 10 Oct · U19 Bundesliga

Last match: 26 Sept · U19 Bundesliga

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
16	Werder Bremen U19	6	+7	13
55	Holstein Kiel U19	6	−5	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · werder bremen u19 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Werder Bremen U19 a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.3, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Holstein Kiel U19 v Werder Bremen U19~~1.69 – 2.31

~~Form · U19 Bundesliga this season · since 8 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 13~~55 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Holstein Kiel U19 win	28%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Werder Bremen U19 win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	–	–
Holstein Kiel U19 or draw	49%	–	–
Holstein Kiel U19 clean sheet	10%	–	–
Werder Bremen U19 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.1%

0123450 2.3 4.1 4.9 3.8 2.2 1 2.9 7.5 8.1 6.2 3.6 2 2.7 6.0 6.7 5.1 3.0 3 3.4 3.8 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Holstein Kiel U19 down, Werder Bremen U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,607 U19 Bundesliga matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 75.8% of games this season, across 207 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Holstein Kiel U19 at home: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Werder Bremen U19 away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Holstein Kiel U19, 2.31 for Werder Bremen U19. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~WER 3–1 HOL · WER 1–2 HOL · HOL 1–1 WER · HOL 3–6 WER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · U19 Bundesliga this season · since 8 Aug

HOLSTEIN KIEL U19

LLDLLW1–3 · 0–2 · 4–4 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 3–1

WERDER BREMEN U19

WLDWWW3–1 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Union Berlin U19	7	+14	19
2	Bayer Leverkusen U19	6	+16	18
3	RB Leipzig U19	7	+13	18
4	Köln U19	6	+18	16
5	Heidenheim U19	7	+13	16
6	Eintracht Frankf U19	6	+16	15
7	Bayern München U19	6	+12	15
8	Arminia Bielefeld U19	7	+11	15
9	Hannover 96 U19	6	+9	15
10	Freiburg U19	7	+6	15
11	Borussia Dortmund U19	6	+9	14
12	MSV Duisburg U19	6	+9	14
13	Hoffenheim U19	7	+14	13
14	Viktoria Köln U19	7	+13	13
15	Stuttgart U19	6	+7	13
16	Werder Bremen U19	6	+7	13
17	Hallescher FC U19	7	+3	13
18	Magdeburg U19	6	+3	13
19	Bochum U19	6	+10	12
20	Wolfsburg U19	6	+10	12
21	Mainz 05 U19	6	+8	12
22	Energie Cottbus U19	7	+7	12
23	Preußen Münster U19	5	+7	12
24	Hamburger SV U19	6	+6	12
25	Karlsruher SC U19	7	−5	11
26	Borussia M'bach U19	6	+3	10
27	1860 München U19	6	+3	10
28	St. Pauli U19	6	0	10
29	Carl Zeiss Jena U19	7	−2	10
30	Eintracht Braunsch U19	7	−10	10
31	Nürnberg U19	6	+3	9
32	Schalke 04 U19	6	+2	9
33	Ingolstadt U19	6	0	9
34	Dynamo Dresden U19	8	−2	9
35	BAK 07 U19	7	−3	9
36	Kaiserslautern U19	6	+1	8
37	Rot-Weiss Essen U19	6	−1	8
38	Augsburg U19	7	−2	7
39	Darmstadt 98 U19	6	−3	7
40	Greuther Fürth U19	6	−5	7
41	Elversberg U19	6	−5	7
42	Sandhausen U19	7	−11	7
43	Hertha BSC U19	6	+1	6
44	Fortuna Düsseldorf U19	6	−3	6
45	Babelsberg U19	7	−4	6
46	Fortuna Köln U19	7	−4	6
47	Meppen U19	6	−4	6
48	Wehen Wiesbaden U19	6	−11	6
49	Erzgebirge Aue U19	7	−14	6
50	Osnabrück U19	6	−4	5
51	Unterhaching U19	6	−4	5
52	FSV Frankfurt U19	7	−9	5
53	Stuttgarter K'rs U19	7	−13	5
54	Ulm U19	7	−2	4
55	Holstein Kiel U19	6	−5	4
56	Alemannia Aachen U19	6	−7	4
57	Jahn Regensburg U19	6	−7	4
58	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19	6	−11	4
59	SGV Freiberg Fussball U19	6	−11	4
60	Paderborn U19	6	−8	3
61	Chemnitzer FC U19	6	−9	3
62	Hansa Rostock U19	7	−8	2
63	RW Oberhausen U19	6	−12	0
64	Havelse U19	6	−25	0
65	Saarbrücken U19	7	−30	0