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Bayern München U19 v SGV Freiberg Fussball U19

Bayern München U19

13:00Upcoming

SGV Freiberg Fussball U19

U19 Bundesliga · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bayern München U19DrawSGV Freiberg Fussball U19

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bayern München U19 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bayern München U19 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bayern München U19 76%, draw 13%, SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 11%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Bayern München U19 v SGV Freiberg Fussball U19Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Bayern München U19 win76%

Draw13%

SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 win11%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundPreliminary

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bayern München U19

SGV Freiberg Fussball U19

4Days since last match15

Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Youth League

Last match: 10 Oct · U19 Bundesliga

3Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
16	Bayern München U19	7	+11	15
60	SGV Freiberg Fussball U19	6	−11	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bayern münchen u19 winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Bayern München U19 a 76% chance to win. The model expects 3.4–1.3, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bayern München U19 v SGV Freiberg Fussball U19~~3.42 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in U19 Bundesliga this season · since 15 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 15 v 4~~16 v 60

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bayern München U19 win	76%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	84%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	68%	–	–
Bayern München U19 or draw	89%	–	–
Bayern München U19 clean sheet	28%	–	–
SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.3%

0123450 1 3.2 4.4 2.7 2 5.4 6.7 4.4 3 5.9 7.3 4.7 2.1 4 5.0 6.1 3.9 5 3.5 4.2 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Bayern München U19 down, SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 across0–5 goals a side shown (85.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 3,632 U19 Bundesliga matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: U19 Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.7% of games this season, across 232 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bayern München U19 at home: 3.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.42 goals for Bayern München U19, 1.28 for SGV Freiberg Fussball U19. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SGV 0–4 BAY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in U19 Bundesliga this season · since 15 Aug

BAYERN MÜNCHEN U19

WLWWWL4–0 · 1–6 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 6–1 · 2–3

SGV FREIBERG FUSSBALL U19

LLWLLD0–4 · 2–5 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 0–4 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bayer Leverkusen U19	8	+19	24
2	Union Berlin U19	8	+17	22
3	RB Leipzig U19	8	+17	21
4	Freiburg U19	9	+11	21
5	Köln U19	8	+20	20
6	Eintracht Frankf U19	8	+21	19
7	Hannover 96 U19	7	+12	18
8	Hoffenheim U19	9	+20	17
9	Heidenheim U19	8	+13	17
10	Borussia Dortmund U19	7	+13	17
11	MSV Duisburg U19	7	+11	17
12	Stuttgart U19	8	+9	17
13	Viktoria Köln U19	8	+22	16
14	Werder Bremen U19	7	+9	16
15	Wolfsburg U19	8	+16	15
16	Bayern München U19	7	+11	15
17	Arminia Bielefeld U19	7	+11	15
18	Preußen Münster U19	6	+10	15
19	Hamburger SV U19	7	+7	15
20	1860 München U19	8	+9	14
21	Borussia M'bach U19	7	+5	13
22	Hallescher FC U19	7	+3	13
23	Magdeburg U19	6	+3	13
24	Bochum U19	7	+9	12
25	Energie Cottbus U19	7	+7	12
26	Mainz 05 U19	7	+6	12
27	Karlsruher SC U19	8	−5	12
28	Rot-Weiss Essen U19	8	−2	11
29	Nürnberg U19	7	+3	10
30	Darmstadt 98 U19	7	−1	10
31	St. Pauli U19	7	−1	10
32	Carl Zeiss Jena U19	8	−5	10
33	Eintracht Braunsch U19	8	−12	10
34	Hertha BSC U19	7	+3	9
35	Fortuna Düsseldorf U19	7	0	9
36	Schalke 04 U19	7	0	9
37	Dynamo Dresden U19	8	−2	9
38	Babelsberg U19	8	−3	9
39	Ingolstadt U19	8	−4	9
40	BAK 07 U19	8	−6	9
41	Kaiserslautern U19	6	+1	8
42	Unterhaching U19	8	−9	8
43	Sandhausen U19	9	−14	8
44	Augsburg U19	8	−4	7
45	Jahn Regensburg U19	7	−5	7
46	Greuther Fürth U19	6	−5	7
47	Wehen Wiesbaden U19	8	−13	7
48	Elversberg U19	8	−16	7
49	Fortuna Köln U19	7	−4	6
50	Paderborn U19	8	−10	6
51	Meppen U19	7	−11	6
52	Erzgebirge Aue U19	7	−14	6
53	Stuttgarter K'rs U19	9	−19	6
54	Ulm U19	8	−2	5
55	Osnabrück U19	6	−4	5
56	Hansa Rostock U19	8	−5	5
57	FSV Frankfurt U19	7	−9	5
58	Holstein Kiel U19	7	−7	4
59	Alemannia Aachen U19	6	−7	4
60	SGV Freiberg Fussball U19	6	−11	4
61	Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19	8	−20	4
62	Chemnitzer FC U19	7	−10	3
63	RW Oberhausen U19	8	−18	0
64	Havelse U19	7	−28	0
65	Saarbrücken U19	8	−32	0