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Wiedenbrück v Borussia Dortmund II

Wiedenbrück
2–4Full time
Borussia Dortmund II

Regionalliga - West · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35
Wiedenbrück 2–4 Borussia Dortmund II BORUSSIA DORTMUND II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Borussia Dortmund II win59%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.257

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay22 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Borussia Dortmund II win at 59%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Borussia Dortmund II 59% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 19–22–58
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Wiedenbrück v Borussia Dortmund II
  4. 18′A goal for Borussia Dortmund II on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 7–13–80
  5. 18′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 7–13–80
  6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Wiedenbrück 0–1 Borussia Dortmund II
  7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
  8. 25′Borussia Dortmund II score on 25′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–93
  9. 25′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 2–5–93
  10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Wiedenbrück 0–2 Borussia Dortmund II
  11. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 93% now
  12. 29′Wiedenbrück find the net on 29′. 1–2. 1–2 · 7–14–80
  13. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Wiedenbrück 1–2 Borussia Dortmund II
  14. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 80% now
  15. 35′A goal for Wiedenbrück on 35′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 20–29–51
  16. 35′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 20–29–51
  17. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Wiedenbrück 2–2 Borussia Dortmund II
  18. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 51% now
  19. 37′N. Tuppeck scores for Wiedenbrück on 36′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 20–30–50
  20. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
  21. 44′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 2–2 · 20–33–47
  22. 45′HALF-TIME Wiedenbrück 2–2 Borussia Dortmund II
  23. 46′SECOND HALF Wiedenbrück 2–2 Borussia Dortmund II
  24. 51′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 19–36–44
  25. 60′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 18–43–39
  26. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
  27. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Borussia Dortmund II win 38%)
  28. 67′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 16–50–34
  29. 72′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 14–56–29
  30. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 29% now
  31. 77′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 12–65–23
  32. 80′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 10–71–19
  33. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 19% now
  34. 81′Borussia Dortmund II score on 80′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 1–9–91
  35. 81′5 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–9–91
  36. 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Wiedenbrück 2–3 Borussia Dortmund II
  37. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 91% now
  38. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Borussia Dortmund II win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
  39. 87′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
  40. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Borussia Dortmund II win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
  41. 96′Borussia Dortmund II find the net on 90′. 2–4. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  42. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Wiedenbrück 2–4 Borussia Dortmund II
  43. 97′We said Borussia Dortmund II at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  44. 97′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 0–0–100
  45. FTFULL TIME Wiedenbrück 2–4 Borussia Dortmund II
  46. FTWiedenbrück 2–4 Borussia Dortmund II · Borussia Dortmund II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Borussia Dortmund II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wiedenbrück 19%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund II 59%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Wiedenbrück v Borussia Dortmund IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Wiedenbrück win19%
Draw22%
Borussia Dortmund II win59%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wiedenbrück

Borussia Dortmund II

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

Last match: 10 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Borussia Dortmund II12+1328
17Wiedenbrück12−158

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · borussia dortmund ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off
59% The market–
Us59%

We make Borussia Dortmund II a 59% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Wiedenbrück v Borussia Dortmund II1.21 – 2.20
Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 5 SeptW2 D0 L4 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 8 v 2817 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 12:18
Our probability · Borussia Dortmund II win

Published at 57%, 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Wiedenbrück win19%––
Draw22%––
Borussia Dortmund II win59%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Wiedenbrück or draw41%––
Wiedenbrück clean sheet12%––
Borussia Dortmund II clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%
0123450 4.5 6.4 8.0 5.8 3.2 1 3.2 9.7 9.4 6.9 3.8 2 2.5 5.3 5.7 4.1 2.3 3 2.1 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Wiedenbrück down, Borussia Dortmund II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsWIE 2–0 BOR · BOR 2–2 WIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 5 Sept

WIEDENBRÜCK

WWLLLL3–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 2–5

BORUSSIA DORTMUND II

WWDWWW3–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rot-weiss Oberhausen12+2131
2Borussia Dortmund II12+1328
3FC Gutersloh13+926
4Borussia M'gladbach II12+1323
5Sportfreunde Siegen12+619
6Schalke 04 II12+419
7Bonner SC12+418
8Westfalia Rhynern13−318
9Köln II12+117
10Bergisch Gladbach12−716
11Hilden12−615
12Bochum II12−514
13FC Bocholt12−413
14Paderborn II12−413
15SG Wattenscheid 0913−612
16SV Rodinghausen13−79
17Wiedenbrück12−158
18Sportfreunde Lotte12−146

The competition's standings before kick-off.