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Westfalia Rhynern v Hilden

Westfalia Rhynern

0–1Full time

Hilden

Regionalliga - West · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Westfalia Rhynern 0–1 Hilden WESTFALIA RHYNERN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Westfalia Rhynern win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.762

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Westfalia Rhynern win at 47%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Westfalia Rhynern 47% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–21–31
1′KICK-OFF Westfalia Rhynern v Hilden
45′HALF-TIME Westfalia Rhynern 0–0 Hilden
49′SECOND HALF Westfalia Rhynern 0–0 Hilden
66′We said Westfalia Rhynern at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–47–23
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Westfalia Rhynern win: 47% at kick-off, 31% now
66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Westfalia Rhynern win 31%)
78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Westfalia Rhynern 0–1 Hilden
84′⚽ GOAL · 76' Westfalia Rhynern 0–1 Hilden · A. Tolaj
87′Hilden ahead on 76′ through A. Tolaj. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–6–94
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Westfalia Rhynern win: 47% at kick-off, 0% now
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Hilden win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
FTFULL TIME Westfalia Rhynern 0–1 Hilden
FTWestfalia Rhynern 0–1 Hilden · Westfalia Rhynern win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Westfalia Rhynern win47%

Draw23%

Hilden win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · westfalia rhynern winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Westfalia Rhynern a 47% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Westfalia Rhynern win	47%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Hilden win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Westfalia Rhynern or draw	70%	–	–
Westfalia Rhynern clean sheet	20%	–	–
Hilden clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.8 3.2 3.4 1 4.2 9.2 6.6 3.7 2 5.3 8.3 6.7 3.7 3 3.7 5.7 4.6 2.5 4 3.0 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Westfalia Rhynern down, Hilden across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,686 Regionalliga - West matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.4% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Westfalia Rhynern at home: 2.40 scored, 1.80 conceded a game (last 5). Hilden away: 1.60 scored, 2.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.08 goals for Westfalia Rhynern, 1.64 for Hilden. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West

WESTFALIA RHYNERN

WWLWLL3–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 2–4 · 1–2

HILDEN

LLWLLW0–6 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 2–4 · 3–4 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	11	+19	28
2	Borussia Dortmund II	11	+12	25
3	FC Gutersloh	11	+13	23
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	11	+12	20
5	Westfalia Rhynern	11	−2	17
6	Sportfreunde Siegen	11	+1	16
7	Bergisch Gladbach	11	−3	16
8	Bonner SC	11	+1	15
9	Schalke 04 II	10	0	15
10	Köln II	10	+1	14
11	FC Bocholt	11	−2	13
12	Paderborn II	11	−3	13
13	SG Wattenscheid 09	11	−4	12
14	Hilden	11	−7	12
15	Bochum II	11	−6	11
16	SV Rodinghausen	11	−5	9
17	Wiedenbrück	11	−12	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	11	−15	3