Sportfreunde Siegen v Bochum II prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sportfreunde SiegenDrawBochum II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sportfreunde Siegen 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sportfreunde Siegen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sportfreunde Siegen 59%, draw 20%, Bochum II 21%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Sportfreunde Siegen v Bochum IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Sportfreunde Siegen win59%

Draw20%

Bochum II win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 15

VenueLeimbachstadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sportfreunde Siegen

Bochum II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	14	+11	25
13	Bochum II	13	−5	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sportfreunde siegen winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Sportfreunde Siegen a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sportfreunde Siegen v Bochum II~~2.43 – 1.40

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 25 v 15~~5 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sportfreunde Siegen win	59%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Bochum II win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Sportfreunde Siegen or draw	79%	–	–
Sportfreunde Siegen clean sheet	25%	–	–
Bochum II clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.2 2.4 2.2 1 4.6 8.2 5.2 2.4 2 6.4 8.8 6.1 2.9 3 5.1 7.0 4.9 2.3 4 3.2 4.3 3.0 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Sportfreunde Siegen down, Bochum II across0–5 goals a side shown (95.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,712 Regionalliga - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.0% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sportfreunde Siegen at home: 1.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bochum II away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.43 goals for Sportfreunde Siegen, 1.40 for Bochum II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BOC 0–0 SPO · SPO 1–1 BOC · SPO 1–1 BOC · BOC 1–3 SPO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 12 Sept

SPORTFREUNDE SIEGEN

WWLWWW2–1 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 5–0 · 3–1 · 4–1

BOCHUM II

LWLWWD0–1 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 6–5 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borussia Dortmund II	14	+17	34
2	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	13	+19	31
3	FC Gutersloh	14	+11	29
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	14	+13	26
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	14	+11	25
6	Köln II	14	+3	21
7	Westfalia Rhynern	14	−2	21
8	Schalke 04 II	14	+2	20
9	Hilden	14	−5	19
10	Bonner SC	14	+1	18
11	FC Bocholt	14	−3	17
12	Bergisch Gladbach	14	−8	17
13	Bochum II	13	−5	15
14	Paderborn II	13	−4	14
15	SG Wattenscheid 09	13	−6	12
16	SV Rodinghausen	14	−7	10
17	Wiedenbrück	14	−19	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	14	−18	6