Sportfreunde Lotte v Sportfreunde Siegen

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sportfreunde Siegen win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sportfreunde Siegen was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 25–25–50
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sportfreunde Lotte v Sportfreunde Siegen
4. 12′Sportfreunde Lotte score on 12′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 52–23–25
5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Sportfreunde Lotte 1–0 Sportfreunde Siegen
6. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Sportfreunde Siegen win: 50% at kick-off, 25% now
7. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Sportfreunde Lotte win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Sportfreunde Siegen win 48%)
8. 13′We said Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–0 · 52–23–25
9. 16′We said Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 53–23–24
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Sportfreunde Siegen win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 55–25–20
12. 32′We said Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 56–25–19
13. 45′HALF-TIME Sportfreunde Lotte 1–0 Sportfreunde Siegen
14. 46′We said Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 60–25–14
15. 46′SECOND HALF Sportfreunde Lotte 1–0 Sportfreunde Siegen
16. 54′A goal for Sportfreunde Siegen on 54′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–17–78
17. 54′We published Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–2 · 5–17–78
18. 54′⚽ GOAL · 45' Sportfreunde Lotte 1–2 Sportfreunde Siegen · K. Gerhardt
19. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Sportfreunde Lotte 1–2 Sportfreunde Siegen
20. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Sportfreunde Siegen win: 50% at kick-off, 78% now
21. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Sportfreunde Siegen win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Sportfreunde Lotte win 63%)
22. 55′E. Huth scores for Sportfreunde Siegen on 50′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–17–78
23. 60′We published Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 4–17–80
24. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Sportfreunde Siegen win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
25. 68′Sportfreunde Siegen score on 68′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–2–98
26. 68′We published Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. Our model now makes it 98%. 1–3 · 0–2–98
27. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Sportfreunde Lotte 1–3 Sportfreunde Siegen
28. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Sportfreunde Siegen win: 50% at kick-off, 98% now
29. 69′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–2–98
30. 82′We published Sportfreunde Siegen at 50%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Sportfreunde Siegen win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
32. 86′Sportfreunde Siegen find the net on 86′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
33. 86′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–0–100
34. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Sportfreunde Lotte 1–4 Sportfreunde Siegen
35. 90′Sportfreunde Siegen ahead on 83′ through L. Pursian. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
36. FTFULL TIME Sportfreunde Lotte 1–4 Sportfreunde Siegen
37. FTSportfreunde Lotte 1–4 Sportfreunde Siegen · Sportfreunde Siegen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.