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Schalke 04 II v Westfalia Rhynern

Schalke 04 II
1–1Full time
Westfalia Rhynern

Regionalliga - West · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01
Schalke 04 II 1–1 Westfalia Rhynern SCHALKE 04 II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Schalke 04 II win57%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.005
The market’s Brier score0.877

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Schalke 04 II win at 57%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Schalke 04 II was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–19–23
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Schalke 04 II v Westfalia Rhynern
  4. 8′A goal for Westfalia Rhynern on 8′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 35–22–44
  5. 8′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–1 · 35–22–44
  6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Schalke 04 II 0–1 Westfalia Rhynern
  7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' Schalke 04 II win: 57% at kick-off, 35% now
  8. 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Westfalia Rhynern win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Schalke 04 II win 35%)
  9. 10′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–22–44
  10. 25′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–24–47
  11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 0–1 · 27–24–48
  12. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Schalke 04 II win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
  13. 38′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–25–51
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Schalke 04 II 0–1 Westfalia Rhynern
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Schalke 04 II 0–1 Westfalia Rhynern
  16. 49′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
  17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Schalke 04 II win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
  18. 58′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
  19. 67′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
  20. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Schalke 04 II win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
  21. 77′We said Schalke 04 II at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
  22. 84′Schalke 04 II score on 84′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 14–78–8
  23. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Schalke 04 II 1–1 Westfalia Rhynern
  24. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Schalke 04 II win: 57% at kick-off, 14% now
  25. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Westfalia Rhynern win 8%)
  26. 86′73′: J. Ndiaye on the scoresheet for Schalke 04 II, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 12–81–7
  27. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Schalke 04 II win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
  28. FTFULL TIME Schalke 04 II 1–1 Westfalia Rhynern
  29. FTSchalke 04 II 1–1 Westfalia Rhynern · Schalke 04 II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Schalke 04 II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Schalke 04 II 57%, draw 20%, Westfalia Rhynern 23%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Schalke 04 II v Westfalia RhynernBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Schalke 04 II win57%
Draw20%
Westfalia Rhynern win23%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00

RoundWest · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Schalke 04 II

Westfalia Rhynern

6Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

Last match: 10 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Schalke 04 II11+418
8Westfalia Rhynern12−317

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · schalke 04 ii winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off
57% The market43%
Us57%
Market43%

We make Schalke 04 II a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Schalke 04 II v Westfalia Rhynern2.44 – 1.52
Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 1 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 18 v 177 v 8
The market · Schalke 04 II win43% · ours 57%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 10 OCT 03:5616 OCT 17:38
Our probability · Schalke 04 II win The market, margin stripped

Published at 54%, 57% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Schalke 04 II win57%43%+14
Draw20%24%−4
Westfalia Rhynern win23%34%−11
Over 2.5 goals75%62%+13
Both teams to score71%63%+8
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals55%39%+16
Schalke 04 II or draw77%66%+11
Schalke 04 II clean sheet23%––
Westfalia Rhynern clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.4%
0123450 3.0 2.3 2.4 1 4.1 8.0 5.4 2.8 2 5.7 8.4 6.3 3.2 3 4.6 6.7 5.0 2.5 4 2.8 4.1 3.1 5 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Schalke 04 II down, Westfalia Rhynern across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 1 Sept

SCHALKE 04 II

LLLWWW1–3 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 5–1

WESTFALIA RHYNERN

WLWLLL1–0 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Rot-weiss Oberhausen12+2131
2Borussia Dortmund II12+1328
3Borussia M'gladbach II12+1323
4FC Gutersloh12+823
5Sportfreunde Siegen12+619
6Bonner SC12+418
7Schalke 04 II11+418
8Westfalia Rhynern12−317
9Bergisch Gladbach12−716
10Hilden12−615
11Köln II11014
12Bochum II12−514
13FC Bocholt12−413
14Paderborn II12−413
15SG Wattenscheid 0912−512
16SV Rodinghausen12−69
17Wiedenbrück12−158
18Sportfreunde Lotte12−146

The competition's standings before kick-off.