Rot-weiss Oberhausen v SG Wattenscheid 09 prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Rot-weiss OberhausenDrawSG Wattenscheid 09

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rot-weiss Oberhausen 67%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rot-weiss Oberhausen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rot-weiss Oberhausen 67%, draw 19%, SG Wattenscheid 09 15%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Rot-weiss Oberhausen v SG Wattenscheid 09Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Rot-weiss Oberhausen win67%

Draw19%

SG Wattenscheid 09 win15%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 14

VenueNiederrheinstadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rot-weiss Oberhausen

SG Wattenscheid 09

8Days since last match9

Last match: 17 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

Last match: 16 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	13	+19	31
15	SG Wattenscheid 09	13	−6	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rot-weiss oberhausen winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Rot-weiss Oberhausen a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rot-weiss Oberhausen v SG Wattenscheid 09~~2.58 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 11 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 31 v 12~~2 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rot-weiss Oberhausen win	67%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
SG Wattenscheid 09 win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Rot-weiss Oberhausen or draw	85%	–	–
Rot-weiss Oberhausen clean sheet	33%	–	–
SG Wattenscheid 09 clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.6 2.3 1 5.8 8.1 4.1 2 8.1 8.9 5.0 3 6.8 7.4 4.2 4 4.4 4.8 2.7 5 2.4 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Rot-weiss Oberhausen down, SG Wattenscheid 09 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,712 Regionalliga - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.0% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rot-weiss Oberhausen at home: 3.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). SG Wattenscheid 09 away: 1.17 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.58 goals for Rot-weiss Oberhausen, 1.13 for SG Wattenscheid 09. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ROT 2–1 SGW · SGW 1–1 ROT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 11 Sept

ROT-WEISS OBERHAUSEN

WWWWWL3–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 1–3

SG WATTENSCHEID 09

DLDWLL1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borussia Dortmund II	14	+17	34
2	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	13	+19	31
3	FC Gutersloh	14	+11	29
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	14	+13	26
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	14	+11	25
6	Köln II	14	+3	21
7	Westfalia Rhynern	14	−2	21
8	Schalke 04 II	14	+2	20
9	Hilden	14	−5	19
10	Bonner SC	14	+1	18
11	FC Bocholt	14	−3	17
12	Bergisch Gladbach	14	−8	17
13	Bochum II	13	−5	15
14	Paderborn II	13	−4	14
15	SG Wattenscheid 09	13	−6	12
16	SV Rodinghausen	14	−7	10
17	Wiedenbrück	14	−19	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	14	−18	6