Köln II v Borussia M'gladbach II prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Köln II 1–2 Borussia M'gladbach II BORUSSIA M'GLADBACH II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Borussia M'gladbach II win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.454

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Borussia M'gladbach II win at 45%.
1′KICK-OFF Köln II v Borussia M'gladbach II
3′Much as we predicted: Borussia M'gladbach II was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 31–23–46
5′Much as we predicted: Borussia M'gladbach II was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 31–23–46
45′HALF-TIME Köln II 0–0 Borussia M'gladbach II
46′SECOND HALF Köln II 0–0 Borussia M'gladbach II
FTFULL TIME Köln II 1–2 Borussia M'gladbach II
FTKöln II 1–2 Borussia M'gladbach II · Borussia M'gladbach II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Köln II win31%

Draw24%

Borussia M'gladbach II win45%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Köln II

Borussia M'gladbach II

15Days since last match9

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	11	+12	20
11	Köln II	10	+1	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · borussia m'gladbach ii winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Borussia M'gladbach II a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Köln II win	31%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Borussia M'gladbach II win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Köln II or draw	55%	–	–
Köln II clean sheet	16%	–	–
Borussia M'gladbach II clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.6 5.3 5.9 3.7 1 4.2 10.5 8.7 5.5 2.6 2 3.9 7.1 6.6 4.1 3 2.0 3.7 3.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Köln II down, Borussia M'gladbach II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,692 Regionalliga - West matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Köln II at home: 1.67 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Borussia M'gladbach II away: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Köln II, 1.88 for Borussia M'gladbach II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BOR 0–2 KOL · KOL 2–1 BOR · BOR 0–4 KOL · KOL 0–0 BOR

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West

KÖLN II

DWLLLW2–2 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 4–3

BORUSSIA M'GLADBACH II

WDWLWL4–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 5–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	12	+21	31
2	Borussia Dortmund II	12	+13	28
3	FC Gutersloh	12	+8	23
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	11	+12	20
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	12	+6	19
6	Schalke 04 II	11	+4	18
7	Westfalia Rhynern	12	−3	17
8	Bergisch Gladbach	12	−7	16
9	Bonner SC	11	+1	15
10	Hilden	12	−6	15
11	Köln II	10	+1	14
12	FC Bocholt	12	−4	13
13	Paderborn II	12	−4	13
14	SG Wattenscheid 09	12	−5	12
15	Bochum II	11	−6	11
16	SV Rodinghausen	11	−5	9
17	Wiedenbrück	11	−12	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	12	−14	6