Borussia Dortmund II v FC Gutersloh prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Borussia Dortmund IIDrawFC Gutersloh

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Borussia Dortmund II 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Borussia Dortmund II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Borussia Dortmund II 43%, draw 25%, FC Gutersloh 32%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Borussia Dortmund II v FC GuterslohBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Borussia Dortmund II win43%

Draw25%

FC Gutersloh win32%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 15

VenueStadion Rote Erde

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Borussia Dortmund II

FC Gutersloh

8Days since last match8

Last match: 23 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · borussia dortmund ii winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Borussia Dortmund II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Borussia Dortmund II v FC Gutersloh~~1.80 – 1.54

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 18 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 34 v 29~~1 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Borussia Dortmund II win	43%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
FC Gutersloh win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Borussia Dortmund II or draw	68%	–	–
Borussia Dortmund II clean sheet	22%	–	–
FC Gutersloh clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 4.8 4.5 4.3 2.2 1 5.5 10.8 7.4 3.8 2 5.8 8.6 6.6 3.4 3 3.4 5.2 4.0 2.0 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Borussia Dortmund II down, FC Gutersloh across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,712 Regionalliga - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.0% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Borussia Dortmund II at home: 2.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). FC Gutersloh away: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.80 goals for Borussia Dortmund II, 1.54 for FC Gutersloh. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FCG 1–1 BOR · BOR 2–1 FCG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 18 Sept

BORUSSIA DORTMUND II

DWWWWW1–1 · 4–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 4–2 · 2–0

FC GUTERSLOH

DLWLWW1–1 · 1–3 · 4–3 · 0–5 · 2–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borussia Dortmund II	14	+17	34
2	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	13	+19	31
3	FC Gutersloh	14	+11	29
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	14	+13	26
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	14	+11	25
6	Köln II	14	+3	21
7	Westfalia Rhynern	14	−2	21
8	Schalke 04 II	14	+2	20
9	Hilden	14	−5	19
10	Bonner SC	14	+1	18
11	FC Bocholt	14	−3	17
12	Bergisch Gladbach	14	−8	17
13	Bochum II	13	−5	15
14	Paderborn II	13	−4	14
15	SG Wattenscheid 09	13	−6	12
16	SV Rodinghausen	14	−7	10
17	Wiedenbrück	14	−19	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	14	−18	6