Bonner SC v Schalke 04 II prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bonner SCDrawSchalke 04 II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Schalke 04 II 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Schalke 04 II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bonner SC 33%, draw 25%, Schalke 04 II 42%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Bonner SC v Schalke 04 IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Bonner SC win33%

Draw25%

Schalke 04 II win42%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 15

VenueSportpark Nord

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bonner SC

Schalke 04 II

8Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

Last match: 24 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Schalke 04 II	14	+2	20
10	Bonner SC	14	+1	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · schalke 04 ii winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Schalke 04 II a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bonner SC v Schalke 04 II~~1.50 – 1.74

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 19 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 18 v 20~~10 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bonner SC win	33%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Schalke 04 II win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Bonner SC or draw	58%	–	–
Bonner SC clean sheet	18%	–	–
Schalke 04 II clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.2 5.8 5.9 3.4 1 4.9 11.2 8.7 5.0 2.2 2 4.5 7.5 6.5 3.7 3 2.2 3.8 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bonner SC down, Schalke 04 II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,712 Regionalliga - West matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.0% of games this season, across 124 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bonner SC at home: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Schalke 04 II away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Bonner SC, 1.74 for Schalke 04 II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SCH 2–3 BON · BON 0–1 SCH · SCH 1–0 BON · BON 4–3 SCH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 19 Sept

BONNER SC

WDWWLL3–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 5–2 · 0–1 · 0–2

SCHALKE 04 II

WWWDLD1–0 · 2–0 · 5–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borussia Dortmund II	14	+17	34
2	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	13	+19	31
3	FC Gutersloh	14	+11	29
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	14	+13	26
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	14	+11	25
6	Köln II	14	+3	21
7	Westfalia Rhynern	14	−2	21
8	Schalke 04 II	14	+2	20
9	Hilden	14	−5	19
10	Bonner SC	14	+1	18
11	FC Bocholt	14	−3	17
12	Bergisch Gladbach	14	−8	17
13	Bochum II	13	−5	15
14	Paderborn II	13	−4	14
15	SG Wattenscheid 09	13	−6	12
16	SV Rodinghausen	14	−7	10
17	Wiedenbrück	14	−19	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	14	−18	6