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Bochum II v SV Rodinghausen

Bochum II

6–5Full time

SV Rodinghausen

Regionalliga - West · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Bochum II 6–5 SV Rodinghausen BOCHUM II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bochum II win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.584

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 34 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bochum II win at 38%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Bochum II 38% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–24–37
3′Bochum II find the net on 2′. 1–0. 1–0 · 63–19–18
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 39% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 63% now
21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Bochum II 2–0 SV Rodinghausen
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 39% now
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 63% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 39% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 63% now
23′L. Pick scores for Bochum II on 22′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 85–10–5
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 39% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 63% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 85% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 85% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 63% now
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 85% now
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 63% now
26′L. Pick scores for Bochum II on 22′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 86–10–4
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 85% now
30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Bochum II 2–1 SV Rodinghausen
44′31′ and it is 2–1: C. Euschen on the scoresheet for SV Rodinghausen. 2–1 · 68–22–10
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 86% now
45′31′ and it is 2–1: C. Euschen on the scoresheet for SV Rodinghausen. 2–1 · 68–22–10
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 86% now
45′HALF-TIME Bochum II 2–1 SV Rodinghausen
46′SECOND HALF Bochum II 2–1 SV Rodinghausen
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Bochum II 3–1 SV Rodinghausen
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Bochum II win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Bochum II 4–1 SV Rodinghausen
56′⚽ GOAL · 54' Bochum II 4–1 SV Rodinghausen
59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Bochum II 5–1 SV Rodinghausen
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Bochum II 6–1 SV Rodinghausen
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Bochum II 6–2 SV Rodinghausen
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Bochum II 6–3 SV Rodinghausen
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Bochum II 6–4 SV Rodinghausen
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Bochum II 6–5 SV Rodinghausen
FTFULL TIME Bochum II 6–5 SV Rodinghausen
FTBochum II 6–5 SV Rodinghausen · Bochum II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Bochum II win38%

Draw26%

SV Rodinghausen win36%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Bochum II

SV Rodinghausen

9Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Bochum II	11	−6	11
16	SV Rodinghausen	11	−5	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bochum ii winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Bochum II a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bochum II win	38%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
SV Rodinghausen win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Bochum II or draw	64%	–	–
Bochum II clean sheet	22%	–	–
SV Rodinghausen clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 5.7 5.6 5.2 2.7 1 5.8 11.7 8.1 4.2 2 5.5 8.3 6.4 3.3 3 2.9 4.4 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bochum II down, SV Rodinghausen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,692 Regionalliga - West matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - West matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bochum II at home: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). SV Rodinghausen away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Bochum II, 1.55 for SV Rodinghausen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BOC 2–0 SVR · SVR 0–2 BOC

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West

BOCHUM II

LLLWLW0–4 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 0–2 · 3–2

SV RODINGHAUSEN

LLLDLW1–2 · 2–3 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rot-weiss Oberhausen	12	+21	31
2	Borussia Dortmund II	12	+13	28
3	FC Gutersloh	12	+8	23
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	11	+12	20
5	Sportfreunde Siegen	12	+6	19
6	Schalke 04 II	11	+4	18
7	Westfalia Rhynern	12	−3	17
8	Bergisch Gladbach	12	−7	16
9	Bonner SC	11	+1	15
10	Hilden	12	−6	15
11	Köln II	10	+1	14
12	FC Bocholt	12	−4	13
13	Paderborn II	12	−4	13
14	SG Wattenscheid 09	12	−5	12
15	Bochum II	11	−6	11
16	SV Rodinghausen	11	−5	9
17	Wiedenbrück	11	−12	8
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	12	−14	6