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Bergisch Gladbach v SV Rodinghausen

Bergisch Gladbach
1–1Full time
SV Rodinghausen

Regionalliga - West · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Bergisch Gladbach 1–1 SV Rodinghausen SV RODINGHAUSEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said SV Rodinghausen win38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.874

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SV Rodinghausen win at 38%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: SV Rodinghausen was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–24–38
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Bergisch Gladbach v SV Rodinghausen
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Bergisch Gladbach 0–0 SV Rodinghausen
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Bergisch Gladbach 0–0 SV Rodinghausen
  6. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Bergisch Gladbach win 33%)
  7. 55′Bergisch Gladbach score on 54′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–22–9
  8. 55′We said SV Rodinghausen at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
  9. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Bergisch Gladbach 1–0 SV Rodinghausen
  10. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' SV Rodinghausen win: 38% at kick-off, 9% now
  11. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Bergisch Gladbach win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 38%)
  12. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' SV Rodinghausen win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
  13. 58′55′: A. Mimini on the scoresheet for Bergisch Gladbach, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 70–21–8
  14. 70′We said SV Rodinghausen at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–19–4
  15. 85′SV Rodinghausen find the net on 84′. 1–1. 1–1 · 9–81–9
  16. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Bergisch Gladbach 1–1 SV Rodinghausen
  17. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Bergisch Gladbach win 90%)
  18. 89′SV Rodinghausen level it on 83′ through M. Bauer. 1–1. 1–1 · 6–87–6
  19. FTFULL TIME Bergisch Gladbach 1–1 SV Rodinghausen
  20. FTBergisch Gladbach 1–1 SV Rodinghausen · SV Rodinghausen win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with SV Rodinghausen just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Bergisch Gladbach 38%, draw 24%, SV Rodinghausen 38%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Bergisch Gladbach v SV RodinghausenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bergisch Gladbach win38%
Draw24%
SV Rodinghausen win38%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundWest · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bergisch Gladbach

SV Rodinghausen

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

Last match: 16 Oct · the German Regionalliga - West

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Bergisch Gladbach13−816
16SV Rodinghausen13−79

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sv rodinghausen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make SV Rodinghausen a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bergisch Gladbach v SV Rodinghausen1.78 – 1.79
Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 13 SeptW2 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 16 v 912 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bergisch Gladbach win38%––
Draw24%––
SV Rodinghausen win38%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score69%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals48%––
Bergisch Gladbach or draw62%––
Bergisch Gladbach clean sheet17%––
SV Rodinghausen clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%
0123450 4.0 4.3 4.6 2.7 1 4.2 9.8 7.8 4.7 2.1 2 4.5 7.8 6.8 4.1 3 2.7 4.6 4.1 2.4 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bergisch Gladbach down, SV Rodinghausen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - West this season · since 13 Sept

BERGISCH GLADBACH

WLWLLL2–1 · 2–3 · 4–2 · 2–4 · 1–5 · 1–2

SV RODINGHAUSEN

LDLWLL2–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 5–6 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Borussia Dortmund II14+1734
2Rot-weiss Oberhausen13+1931
3FC Gutersloh14+1129
4Borussia M'gladbach II13+1426
5Sportfreunde Siegen13+822
6Köln II13+320
7Schalke 04 II13+219
8Bonner SC14+118
9Westfalia Rhynern13−318
10Hilden13−518
11FC Bocholt13−316
12Bergisch Gladbach13−816
13Bochum II12−514
14Paderborn II12−413
15SG Wattenscheid 0913−612
16SV Rodinghausen13−79
17Wiedenbrück14−198
18Sportfreunde Lotte13−156

The competition's standings before kick-off.