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TSV Steinbach v VfR Mannheim
TSV Steinbach
VfR MannheimRegionalliga - SudWest · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said TSV Steinbach win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: TSV Steinbach 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–34
- 1′KICK-OFF TSV Steinbach v VfR Mannheim
- 45′HALF-TIME TSV Steinbach 0–0 VfR Mannheim
- 46′SECOND HALF TSV Steinbach 0–0 VfR Mannheim
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was TSV Steinbach win 35%)
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' TSV Steinbach win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 32–41–27
- 55′VfR Mannheim score on 55′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 9–23–68
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' TSV Steinbach 0–1 VfR Mannheim
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' TSV Steinbach win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' VfR Mannheim win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 41%)
- 56′We said TSV Steinbach at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–69
- 64′VfR Mannheim find the net on 64′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 64′We said TSV Steinbach at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 64′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–2 · 1–5–94
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' TSV Steinbach 0–2 VfR Mannheim
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' TSV Steinbach win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
- 66′VfR Mannheim ahead on 63′ through H. Hartmann. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–95
- FTFULL TIME TSV Steinbach 0–2 VfR Mannheim
- FTTSV Steinbach 0–2 VfR Mannheim · TSV Steinbach win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
TSV Steinbach are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: TSV Steinbach 42%, draw 24%, VfR Mannheim 34%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
TSV Steinbach win42%
VfR Mannheim win34%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundSudwest · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
TSV SteinbachMIN
VfR MannheimEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
TSV Steinbach
VfR Mannheim
Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make TSV Steinbach a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Steinbach win | 42% | 31% | +11 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| VfR Mannheim win | 34% | 45% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 59% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 61% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 37% | +2 |
| TSV Steinbach or draw | 66% | 55% | +11 |
| TSV Steinbach clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| VfR Mannheim clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2023/24No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 12 Sept
TSV STEINBACH
VFR MANNHEIM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 13 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 12 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 12 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Kickers Offenbach | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | FC 08 Homburg | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | SV Sandhausen | 12 | −1 | 19 |
| 8 | Eintracht Trier | 12 | −3 | 19 |
| 9 | Freiburg II | 12 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 | TSV Steinbach | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 12 | −4 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 12 | −2 | 13 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 11 | −2 | 13 |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 12 | −11 | 11 |
| 15 | Kaiserslautern II | 13 | −13 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 12 | −5 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 12 | −7 | 9 |
| 18 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 12 | −13 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
SGV Freiberg
VfR Aalen
Stuttgarter Kickers
Kickers Offenbach
FC 08 Homburg
SV Sandhausen
Eintracht Trier
Freiburg II
Hessen Kassel
FSV Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt II
FSV Mainz 05 II
Kaiserslautern II
FC Astoria Walldorf
SSV Ulm 1846
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.