TSV Steinbach v FSV Frankfurt prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TSV SteinbachDrawFSV Frankfurt

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · TSV Steinbach 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

TSV Steinbach are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: TSV Steinbach 48%, draw 22%, FSV Frankfurt 30%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on TSV Steinbach v FSV FrankfurtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

TSV Steinbach win48%

Draw22%

FSV Frankfurt win30%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundSudwest · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

TSV Steinbach

FSV Frankfurt

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	TSV Steinbach	13	0	16
14	FSV Frankfurt	13	−3	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tsv steinbach winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make TSV Steinbach a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · TSV Steinbach v FSV Frankfurt~~2.03 – 1.56

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 16 v 13~~10 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
TSV Steinbach win	48%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
FSV Frankfurt win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
TSV Steinbach or draw	70%	–	–
TSV Steinbach clean sheet	21%	–	–
FSV Frankfurt clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.4 4.0 3.5 1 5.3 9.2 6.8 3.5 2 5.7 8.7 6.7 3.5 3 3.8 5.8 4.5 2.4 4 3.0 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+TSV Steinbach down, FSV Frankfurt across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,681 Regionalliga - SudWest matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - SudWest matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games this season, across 115 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.40 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

TSV Steinbach at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). FSV Frankfurt away: 1.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.03 goals for TSV Steinbach, 1.56 for FSV Frankfurt. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.40

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FSV 0–6 TSV · TSV 0–3 FSV · TSV 2–1 FSV · FSV 1–1 TSV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 18 Sept

TSV STEINBACH

LWDWLL0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 1–3 · 0–2

FSV FRANKFURT

LLLDLL0–1 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	13	+19	27
2	VfR Aalen	13	+12	27
3	VfR Mannheim	13	+13	26
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	13	+4	23
5	Eintracht Trier	13	−1	22
6	Kickers Offenbach	13	+6	21
7	FC 08 Homburg	12	+1	19
8	SV Sandhausen	13	−2	19
9	Freiburg II	12	+5	17
10	TSV Steinbach	13	0	16
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II	12	−1	16
12	Hessen Kassel	13	−7	14
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	13	−2	13
14	FSV Frankfurt	13	−3	13
15	Kaiserslautern II	13	−13	11
16	FSV Mainz 05 II	13	−13	11
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	−7	9
18	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	13	−11	9