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Home › Football › Regionalliga - SudWest › SV Sandhausen v Kickers Offenbach

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SV Sandhausen v Kickers Offenbach

SV Sandhausen
1–0Full time
Kickers Offenbach

Regionalliga - SudWest · FRI 16 OCT · Hardtwaldstadion

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01
SV Sandhausen 1–0 Kickers Offenbach KICKERS OFFENBACH WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kickers Offenbach win41%
The market said29%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.652
The market’s Brier score0.460

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kickers Offenbach win at 41%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Kickers Offenbach 41% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 35–23–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF SV Sandhausen v Kickers Offenbach
  4. 12′A goal for Kickers Offenbach on 11′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 35–25–41
  5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' SV Sandhausen 1–1 Kickers Offenbach
  6. 12′🟥 RED CARD · 12' SV Sandhausen
  7. 13′SV Sandhausen are down to ten from 12′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 35–25–41
  8. 22′Kickers Offenbach score on 22′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 14–20–66
  9. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' SV Sandhausen 1–2 Kickers Offenbach
  10. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 66% now
  11. 23′We said Kickers Offenbach at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–2 · 14–20–66
  12. 33′Kickers Offenbach find the net on 32′. 1–3. 1–3 · 3–9–88
  13. 33′A second red card for SV Sandhausen on 32′ — they are down to nine. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–3 · 3–9–88
  14. 33′🟥 RED CARD · 32' SV Sandhausen
  15. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' SV Sandhausen 1–3 Kickers Offenbach
  16. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 88% now
  17. 34′We said Kickers Offenbach at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–3 · 3–9–88
  18. 34′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 3–9–88
  19. 37′Kickers Offenbach ahead on 29′ through K. Staude. 1–3. 1–3 · 3–8–89
  20. 40′A goal for SV Sandhausen on 39′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 11–21–68
  21. 40′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 11–21–68
  22. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' SV Sandhausen 2–3 Kickers Offenbach
  23. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
  24. 44′Kickers Offenbach score on 43′ to make it 2–4. 2–4 · 2–8–90
  25. 44′We said Kickers Offenbach at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–4 · 2–8–90
  26. 44′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 2–8–90
  27. 44′⚽ GOAL · 43' SV Sandhausen 2–4 Kickers Offenbach
  28. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 90% now
  29. 45′HALF-TIME SV Sandhausen 2–4 Kickers Offenbach
  30. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
  31. FTFULL TIME SV Sandhausen 1–0 Kickers Offenbach
  32. FTSV Sandhausen 1–0 Kickers Offenbach · Kickers Offenbach win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kickers Offenbach are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SV Sandhausen 35%, draw 24%, Kickers Offenbach 41%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on SV Sandhausen v Kickers OffenbachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

SV Sandhausen win35%
Draw24%
Kickers Offenbach win41%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00

RoundSudwest · matchday 12

VenueHardtwaldstadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SV Sandhausen

Kickers Offenbach

6Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

Last match: 9 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Kickers Offenbach11+720
9SV Sandhausen11−216

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kickers offenbach winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:03 · locked at kick-off
41% The market29%
Us41%
Market29%

We make Kickers Offenbach a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SV Sandhausen v Kickers Offenbach1.59 – 1.75
Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 8 SeptW3 D3 L0 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 16 v 209 v 4
The market · Kickers Offenbach win29% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 10 OCT 03:5616 OCT 17:38
Our probability · Kickers Offenbach win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SV Sandhausen win35%45%−10
Draw24%27%−3
Kickers Offenbach win41%29%+12
Over 2.5 goals64%58%+6
Both teams to score66%62%+4
Over 1.5 goals85%80%+5
Over 3.5 goals43%38%+5
SV Sandhausen or draw59%71%−12
SV Sandhausen clean sheet18%––
Kickers Offenbach clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.3 5.8 5.5 3.2 1 5.2 10.3 8.5 4.9 2.2 2 4.5 7.7 6.7 3.9 3 2.4 4.1 3.5 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SV Sandhausen down, Kickers Offenbach across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsKIC 2–0 SVS · SVS 4–3 KIC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 8 Sept

SV SANDHAUSEN

DWDWDW0–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–1

KICKERS OFFENBACH

WLWLLD3–2 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1SGV Freiberg11+1623
2VfR Aalen11+921
3VfR Mannheim11+820
4Kickers Offenbach11+720
5Stuttgarter Kickers11+420
6Freiburg II10+616
7TSV Steinbach11+416
8FC 08 Homburg11016
9SV Sandhausen11−216
10Eintracht Trier11−416
11Hessen Kassel11−114
12FSV Frankfurt11−113
13FC Astoria Walldorf11−310
14Eintracht Frankfurt II10−310
15FSV Mainz 05 II11−1110
16Kaiserslautern II11−1210
17SSV Ulm 184611−78
18Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.11−106

The competition's standings before kick-off.