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SV Sandhausen v Kickers Offenbach
SV Sandhausen
Kickers OffenbachRegionalliga - SudWest · FRI 16 OCT · Hardtwaldstadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kickers Offenbach win at 41%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kickers Offenbach 41% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 35–23–42
- 1′KICK-OFF SV Sandhausen v Kickers Offenbach
- 12′A goal for Kickers Offenbach on 11′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 35–25–41
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' SV Sandhausen 1–1 Kickers Offenbach
- 12′🟥 RED CARD · 12' SV Sandhausen
- 13′SV Sandhausen are down to ten from 12′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 35–25–41
- 22′Kickers Offenbach score on 22′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 14–20–66
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' SV Sandhausen 1–2 Kickers Offenbach
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 66% now
- 23′We said Kickers Offenbach at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–2 · 14–20–66
- 33′Kickers Offenbach find the net on 32′. 1–3. 1–3 · 3–9–88
- 33′A second red card for SV Sandhausen on 32′ — they are down to nine. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–3 · 3–9–88
- 33′🟥 RED CARD · 32' SV Sandhausen
- 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' SV Sandhausen 1–3 Kickers Offenbach
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 88% now
- 34′We said Kickers Offenbach at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–3 · 3–9–88
- 34′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 3–9–88
- 37′Kickers Offenbach ahead on 29′ through K. Staude. 1–3. 1–3 · 3–8–89
- 40′A goal for SV Sandhausen on 39′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 11–21–68
- 40′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 11–21–68
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' SV Sandhausen 2–3 Kickers Offenbach
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
- 44′Kickers Offenbach score on 43′ to make it 2–4. 2–4 · 2–8–90
- 44′We said Kickers Offenbach at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–4 · 2–8–90
- 44′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–4 · 2–8–90
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 43' SV Sandhausen 2–4 Kickers Offenbach
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 90% now
- 45′HALF-TIME SV Sandhausen 2–4 Kickers Offenbach
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Kickers Offenbach win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
- FTFULL TIME SV Sandhausen 1–0 Kickers Offenbach
- FTSV Sandhausen 1–0 Kickers Offenbach · Kickers Offenbach win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKickers Offenbach are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SV Sandhausen 35%, draw 24%, Kickers Offenbach 41%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
SV Sandhausen win35%
Kickers Offenbach win41%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00
RoundSudwest · matchday 12
VenueHardtwaldstadion
Match timeline
All events
SV SandhausenMIN
Kickers OffenbachEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SV Sandhausen
Kickers Offenbach
Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Last match: 9 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kickers Offenbach a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 45% | −10 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Kickers Offenbach win | 41% | 29% | +12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 58% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 62% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 80% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 38% | +5 |
| SV Sandhausen or draw | 59% | 71% | −12 |
| SV Sandhausen clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Kickers Offenbach clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 8 Sept
SV SANDHAUSEN
KICKERS OFFENBACH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 11 | +16 | 23 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 11 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 11 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Kickers Offenbach | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 | Freiburg II | 10 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | TSV Steinbach | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | FC 08 Homburg | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | SV Sandhausen | 11 | −2 | 16 |
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 11 | −4 | 16 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 11 | −1 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 11 | −1 | 13 |
| 13 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 10 | −3 | 10 |
| 15 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 11 | −11 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 11 | −12 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 11 | −7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 11 | −10 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
SGV Freiberg
VfR Aalen
VfR Mannheim
Stuttgarter Kickers
Freiburg II
TSV Steinbach
FC 08 Homburg
Eintracht Trier
Hessen Kassel
FSV Frankfurt
FC Astoria Walldorf
Eintracht Frankfurt II
FSV Mainz 05 II
Kaiserslautern II
SSV Ulm 1846
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.