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Stuttgarter Kickers v TSV Steinbach

Stuttgarter Kickers
3–1Full time
TSV Steinbach

Regionalliga - SudWest · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35
Stuttgarter Kickers 3–1 TSV Steinbach STUTTGARTER KICKERS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Stuttgarter Kickers win42%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.504
The market’s Brier score0.394

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Stuttgarter Kickers win at 42%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Stuttgarter Kickers was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Stuttgarter Kickers v TSV Steinbach
  4. 9′A goal for Stuttgarter Kickers on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–18–15
  5. 9′We published Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. Our model now makes it 67%. 1–0 · 67–18–15
  6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Stuttgarter Kickers 1–0 TSV Steinbach
  7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 42% at kick-off, 67% now
  8. 10′Y. Glessing scores for Stuttgarter Kickers on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–18–15
  9. 27′TSV Steinbach score on 27′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 39–29–32
  10. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Stuttgarter Kickers 1–1 TSV Steinbach
  11. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 42% at kick-off, 39% now
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Stuttgarter Kickers 1–1 TSV Steinbach
  13. 46′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–1 · 35–36–29
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Stuttgarter Kickers 1–1 TSV Steinbach
  15. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Stuttgarter Kickers win 33%)
  16. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
  17. 59′We said Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–44–26
  18. 61′We said Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–25
  19. 68′Stuttgarter Kickers find the net on 68′. 2–1. 2–1 · 78–18–4
  20. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Stuttgarter Kickers 2–1 TSV Steinbach
  21. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 42% at kick-off, 78% now
  22. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Stuttgarter Kickers win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 18%)
  23. 69′We published Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. Our model now makes it 79%. 2–1 · 79–18–3
  24. 70′We published Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
  25. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
  26. 78′We published Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–1
  27. 83′We published Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  28. 83′A goal for Stuttgarter Kickers on 83′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  29. 83′We published Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  30. 83′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  31. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Stuttgarter Kickers 3–1 TSV Steinbach
  32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 42% at kick-off, 99% now
  33. 84′We published Stuttgarter Kickers at 42%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  34. FTFULL TIME Stuttgarter Kickers 3–1 TSV Steinbach
  35. FTStuttgarter Kickers 3–1 TSV Steinbach · Stuttgarter Kickers win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stuttgarter Kickers are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stuttgarter Kickers 42%, draw 24%, TSV Steinbach 33%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Stuttgarter Kickers v TSV SteinbachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Stuttgarter Kickers win42%
Draw24%
TSV Steinbach win33%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundSudwest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stuttgarter Kickers

TSV Steinbach

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Stuttgarter Kickers11+420
8TSV Steinbach11+416

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stuttgarter kickers winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
42% The market49%
Us42%
Market49%

We make Stuttgarter Kickers a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Stuttgarter Kickers v TSV Steinbach1.70 – 1.49
Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 8 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 20 v 165 v 8
The market · Stuttgarter Kickers win49% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 12:18
Our probability · Stuttgarter Kickers win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Stuttgarter Kickers win42%49%−7
Draw24%24%0
TSV Steinbach win33%28%+5
Over 2.5 goals62%68%−6
Both teams to score63%67%−4
Over 1.5 goals83%85%−2
Over 3.5 goals40%47%−7
Stuttgarter Kickers or draw67%72%−5
Stuttgarter Kickers clean sheet23%––
TSV Steinbach clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 4.8 5.7 4.6 2.3 1 6.5 10.8 7.6 3.8 2 5.9 8.7 6.4 3.2 3 3.4 4.9 3.6 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Stuttgarter Kickers down, TSV Steinbach across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.83
Over 2.55 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsSTU 4–1 TSV · TSV 0–1 STU · TSV 2–1 STU · STU 5–1 TSV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 8 Sept

STUTTGARTER KICKERS

LWWDWL1–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–2

TSV STEINBACH

LWLWDW2–3 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 4–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1SGV Freiberg11+1623
2VfR Aalen11+921
3VfR Mannheim11+820
4Kickers Offenbach12+620
5Stuttgarter Kickers11+420
6SV Sandhausen12−119
7Freiburg II10+616
8TSV Steinbach11+416
9FC 08 Homburg11016
10Eintracht Trier11−416
11Hessen Kassel11−114
12FSV Frankfurt11−113
13FC Astoria Walldorf11−310
14Eintracht Frankfurt II10−310
15FSV Mainz 05 II11−1110
16Kaiserslautern II11−1210
17SSV Ulm 184611−78
18Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.11−106

The competition's standings before kick-off.