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FSV Frankfurt v SV Sandhausen

FSV Frankfurt
1–3Full time
SV Sandhausen

Regionalliga - SudWest · SAT 10 OCT · PSD Bank Arena

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38
FSV Frankfurt 1–3 SV Sandhausen FSV FRANKFURT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said FSV Frankfurt win52%
The market said34%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.887
The market’s Brier score0.544

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FSV Frankfurt win at 52%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF FSV Frankfurt v SV Sandhausen
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: FSV Frankfurt was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
  4. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' FSV Frankfurt 0–1 SV Sandhausen
  5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' FSV Frankfurt 1–1 SV Sandhausen
  6. 22′C. Peters scores for FSV Frankfurt on 10′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 49–26–25
  7. 26′⚽ GOAL · 25' FSV Frankfurt 1–2 SV Sandhausen
  8. 42′25′ and it is 1–2: M. Tasdelen on the scoresheet for SV Sandhausen. 1–2 · 18–26–57
  9. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' FSV Frankfurt win: 52% at kick-off, 18% now
  10. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' SV Sandhausen win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was FSV Frankfurt win 18%)
  11. 45′HALF-TIME FSV Frankfurt 1–2 SV Sandhausen
  12. 47′SECOND HALF FSV Frankfurt 1–2 SV Sandhausen
  13. 48′27′ and it is 1–2: M. Tasdelen on the scoresheet for SV Sandhausen. 1–2 · 15–26–59
  14. 66′We said FSV Frankfurt at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 1–2 · 7–24–69
  15. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' FSV Frankfurt win: 52% at kick-off, 7% now
  16. 82′⚽ GOAL · 6' FSV Frankfurt 1–2 SV Sandhausen · N. Tarnat
  17. 82′⚽ GOAL · 10' FSV Frankfurt 1–2 SV Sandhausen · C. Peters
  18. 82′⚽ GOAL · 27' FSV Frankfurt 1–2 SV Sandhausen · M. Tasdelen
  19. 88′SV Sandhausen find the net on 87′. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  20. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' FSV Frankfurt 1–3 SV Sandhausen
  21. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' FSV Frankfurt win: 52% at kick-off, 0% now
  22. FTFULL TIME FSV Frankfurt 1–3 SV Sandhausen
  23. FTFSV Frankfurt 1–3 SV Sandhausen · FSV Frankfurt win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

FSV Frankfurt win52%
Draw23%
SV Sandhausen win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

Venue · PSD Bank Arena

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fsv frankfurt winPublished 10 Oct 13:12
52% The market34%
Us52%
Market34%

We make FSV Frankfurt a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 18 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 03:56
Our probability · fsv frankfurt win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 42% to 34% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FSV Frankfurt win52%34%+18
Draw23%26%−3
SV Sandhausen win25%40%−15
Over 2.5 goals63%65%−2
Both teams to score63%67%−4
Over 1.5 goals84%83%+1
Over 3.5 goals41%46%−4
FSV Frankfurt or draw75%60%+15
FSV Frankfurt clean sheet27%––
SV Sandhausen clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%
0123450 4.5 4.4 3.3 1 6.9 10.2 6.3 2.8 2 7.3 9.3 6.1 2.7 3 4.8 6.1 4.0 4 2.4 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FSV Frankfurt down, SV Sandhausen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsFSV 1–0 SVS · SVS 1–2 FSV

Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest

FSV FRANKFURT

DDWWLL2–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–4

SV SANDHAUSEN

LDWDWD2–5 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1SGV Freiberg10+1520
2Kickers Offenbach11+720
3Stuttgarter Kickers10+620
4VfR Aalen10+718
5Freiburg II9+716
6FC 08 Homburg11016
7Eintracht Trier10016
8VfR Mannheim9+514
9TSV Steinbach10013
10SV Sandhausen10−413
11FSV Frankfurt9+112
12Hessen Kassel10−211
13Eintracht Frankfurt II8−110
14FC Astoria Walldorf10−39
15FSV Mainz 05 II10−119
16Kaiserslautern II9−119
17Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.10−86
18SSV Ulm 184610−85

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.