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FSV Frankfurt v Eintracht Frankfurt II

FSV Frankfurt

1–2Full time

Eintracht Frankfurt II

Regionalliga - SudWest · SAT 24 OCT · PSD Bank Arena

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

FSV Frankfurt 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt II FSV FRANKFURT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FSV Frankfurt win~~45%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.765

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.651

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FSV Frankfurt win at 45%.
1′Much as we predicted: FSV Frankfurt was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–25–30
1′KICK-OFF FSV Frankfurt v Eintracht Frankfurt II
45′HALF-TIME FSV Frankfurt 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt II
46′Eintracht Frankfurt II ahead on 17′ through J. Etse. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–24–63
46′We said FSV Frankfurt at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–24–63
46′⚽ GOAL · 17' FSV Frankfurt 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt II · J. Etse
46′SECOND HALF FSV Frankfurt 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt II
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' FSV Frankfurt win: 45% at kick-off, 12% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Eintracht Frankfurt II win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was FSV Frankfurt win 37%)
55′We said FSV Frankfurt at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' FSV Frankfurt win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
70′We said FSV Frankfurt at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
87′A goal for FSV Frankfurt on 87′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 8–87–6
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' FSV Frankfurt 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt II
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Eintracht Frankfurt II win 92%)
97′Eintracht Frankfurt II score on 90′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
97′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' FSV Frankfurt 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt II
97′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+7' Eintracht Frankfurt II win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 97%)
FTFULL TIME FSV Frankfurt 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt II
FTFSV Frankfurt 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt II · FSV Frankfurt win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FSV Frankfurt are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FSV Frankfurt 45%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt II 30%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on FSV Frankfurt v Eintracht Frankfurt IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

FSV Frankfurt win45%

Draw25%

Eintracht Frankfurt II win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundSudwest · matchday 13

VenuePSD Bank Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FSV Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt II

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	FSV Frankfurt	12	−2	13
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	11	−2	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fsv frankfurt winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 23 Oct 04:17 · locked at kick-off

45% The market40%

Us45%

~~Market~~40%

We make FSV Frankfurt a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FSV Frankfurt v Eintracht Frankfurt II~~1.68 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 9 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 13~~12 v 13

~~The market · FSV Frankfurt win~~40% · ours 45%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · FSV Frankfurt win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 45% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FSV Frankfurt win	45%	40%	+5
Draw	25%	25%	0
Eintracht Frankfurt II win	30%	35%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	57%	55%	+2
Both teams to score	59%	58%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	32%	+3
FSV Frankfurt or draw	70%	65%	+5
FSV Frankfurt clean sheet	27%	–	–
Eintracht Frankfurt II clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 5.9 6.1 4.4 1 7.9 11.5 7.1 3.2 2 7.1 9.0 5.9 2.6 3 4.0 5.1 3.3 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FSV Frankfurt down, Eintracht Frankfurt II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,675 Regionalliga - SudWest matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - SudWest matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.2% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FSV Frankfurt at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Eintracht Frankfurt II away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for FSV Frankfurt, 1.31 for Eintracht Frankfurt II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~EIN 2–2 FSV · FSV 3–1 EIN · FSV 0–1 EIN · EIN 5–1 FSV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 9 Sept

FSV FRANKFURT

WLLLDL2–1 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 2–3

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT II

WLWLLW2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	13	+19	27
2	VfR Aalen	12	+11	24
3	VfR Mannheim	12	+11	23
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	12	+6	23
5	Kickers Offenbach	13	+6	21
6	FC 08 Homburg	12	+1	19
7	SV Sandhausen	12	−1	19
8	Eintracht Trier	12	−3	19
9	Freiburg II	12	+5	17
10	TSV Steinbach	12	+2	16
11	Hessen Kassel	12	−4	14
12	FSV Frankfurt	12	−2	13
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	11	−2	13
14	FSV Mainz 05 II	12	−11	11
15	Kaiserslautern II	13	−13	11
16	FC Astoria Walldorf	12	−5	10
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	−7	9
18	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	12	−13	6