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FC Astoria Walldorf v Hessen Kassel
FC Astoria Walldorf
Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Astoria Walldorf win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: FC Astoria Walldorf 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–23–38
- 1′KICK-OFF FC Astoria Walldorf v Hessen Kassel
- 5′A goal for FC Astoria Walldorf on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 62–18–19
- 5′We said FC Astoria Walldorf at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 62%. 1–0 · 62–18–19
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' FC Astoria Walldorf 1–0 Hessen Kassel
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' FC Astoria Walldorf win: 39% at kick-off, 62% now
- 6′K. Fressle scores for FC Astoria Walldorf on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 62–19–19
- 30′We said FC Astoria Walldorf at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–21–15
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 65–21–15
- 38′We said FC Astoria Walldorf at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–0 · 87–9–4
- 39′FC Astoria Walldorf score on 38′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 87–9–4
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' FC Astoria Walldorf 2–0 Hessen Kassel
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' FC Astoria Walldorf win: 39% at kick-off, 87% now
- 41′Hessen Kassel find the net on 40′. 2–1. 2–1 · 66–21–12
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' FC Astoria Walldorf 2–1 Hessen Kassel
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' FC Astoria Walldorf win: 39% at kick-off, 66% now
- 45′HALF-TIME FC Astoria Walldorf 2–1 Hessen Kassel
- 46′SECOND HALF FC Astoria Walldorf 2–1 Hessen Kassel
- 52′A goal for FC Astoria Walldorf on 52′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 90–7–2
- 52′We said FC Astoria Walldorf at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–1 · 90–7–2
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' FC Astoria Walldorf 3–1 Hessen Kassel
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' FC Astoria Walldorf win: 39% at kick-off, 90% now
- 53′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 91–7–2
- 64′FC Astoria Walldorf score on 64′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 64′We said FC Astoria Walldorf at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 64′5 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' FC Astoria Walldorf 4–1 Hessen Kassel
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' FC Astoria Walldorf win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
- 68′63′: F. Kendel on the scoresheet for FC Astoria Walldorf, making it 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 71′We said FC Astoria Walldorf at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME FC Astoria Walldorf 4–1 Hessen Kassel
- FTFC Astoria Walldorf 4–1 Hessen Kassel · FC Astoria Walldorf win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with FC Astoria Walldorf just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: FC Astoria Walldorf 39%, draw 23%, Hessen Kassel 38%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
FC Astoria Walldorf win39%
Hessen Kassel win38%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundSudwest · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
FC Astoria WalldorfMIN
Hessen KasselEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FC Astoria Walldorf
Hessen Kassel
Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make FC Astoria Walldorf a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.8–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Astoria Walldorf win | 39% | 39% | 0 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Hessen Kassel win | 38% | 36% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 66% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 68% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 84% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| FC Astoria Walldorf or draw | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| FC Astoria Walldorf clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Hessen Kassel clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 11 Sept
FC ASTORIA WALLDORF
HESSEN KASSEL
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 13 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 12 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 12 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Kickers Offenbach | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | FC 08 Homburg | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 7 | SV Sandhausen | 12 | −1 | 19 |
| 8 | Eintracht Trier | 12 | −3 | 19 |
| 9 | Freiburg II | 12 | +5 | 17 |
| 10 | TSV Steinbach | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 12 | −4 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 12 | −2 | 13 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 11 | −2 | 13 |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 12 | −11 | 11 |
| 15 | Kaiserslautern II | 13 | −13 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 12 | −5 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 12 | −7 | 9 |
| 18 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 12 | −13 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
SGV Freiberg
VfR Aalen
VfR Mannheim
Stuttgarter Kickers
Kickers Offenbach
FC 08 Homburg
SV Sandhausen
Eintracht Trier
Freiburg II
TSV Steinbach
FSV Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt II
FSV Mainz 05 II
Kaiserslautern II
SSV Ulm 1846
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.