FC 08 Homburg v Eintracht Trier prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC 08 HomburgDrawEintracht Trier

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC 08 Homburg 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC 08 Homburg are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC 08 Homburg 57%, draw 23%, Eintracht Trier 20%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on FC 08 Homburg v Eintracht TrierBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

FC 08 Homburg win57%

Draw23%

Eintracht Trier win20%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundSudwest · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC 08 Homburg

Eintracht Trier

12Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

Last match: 24 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Eintracht Trier	13	−1	22
7	FC 08 Homburg	12	+1	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc 08 homburg winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:19 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make FC 08 Homburg a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC 08 Homburg v Eintracht Trier~~1.90 – 1.01

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 19 v 22~~7 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · FC 08 Homburg win

Published at 58%, 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC 08 Homburg win	57%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Eintracht Trier win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
FC 08 Homburg or draw	80%	–	–
FC 08 Homburg clean sheet	37%	–	–
Eintracht Trier clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 6.2 5.1 2.9 1 9.9 10.9 5.3 2 9.7 9.7 4.9 3 6.2 6.1 3.1 4 3.0 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC 08 Homburg down, Eintracht Trier across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,681 Regionalliga - SudWest matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - SudWest matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games this season, across 115 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC 08 Homburg at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Eintracht Trier away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.90 goals for FC 08 Homburg, 1.01 for Eintracht Trier. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~FCH 1–2 EIN · EIN 2–0 FCH · FCH 0–1 EIN · EIN 4–1 FCH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 12 Sept

FC 08 HOMBURG

WDLDDW2–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–1

EINTRACHT TRIER

LWLLWW1–3 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	13	+19	27
2	VfR Aalen	13	+12	27
3	VfR Mannheim	13	+13	26
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	13	+4	23
5	Eintracht Trier	13	−1	22
6	Kickers Offenbach	13	+6	21
7	FC 08 Homburg	12	+1	19
8	SV Sandhausen	13	−2	19
9	Freiburg II	12	+5	17
10	TSV Steinbach	13	0	16
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II	12	−1	16
12	Hessen Kassel	13	−7	14
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	13	−2	13
14	FSV Frankfurt	13	−3	13
15	Kaiserslautern II	13	−13	11
16	FSV Mainz 05 II	13	−13	11
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	−7	9
18	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	13	−11	9