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Eintracht Trier v Stuttgarter Kickers

Eintracht Trier

2–0Full time

Stuttgarter Kickers

Regionalliga - SudWest · SAT 24 OCT · Moselstadion

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Eintracht Trier 2–0 Stuttgarter Kickers STUTTGARTER KICKERS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stuttgarter Kickers win~~44%

~~The market said~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.766

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.676

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Stuttgarter Kickers win at 44%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Stuttgarter Kickers 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 29–27–44
1′KICK-OFF Eintracht Trier v Stuttgarter Kickers
3′Eintracht Trier score on 3′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 56–22–22
3′We said Stuttgarter Kickers at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 56–22–22
3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Eintracht Trier 1–0 Stuttgarter Kickers
3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 44% at kick-off, 22% now
3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Eintracht Trier win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Stuttgarter Kickers win 44%)
13′1′: T. Sausen on the scoresheet for Eintracht Trier, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 58–23–20
14′We said Stuttgarter Kickers at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 58–23–19
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 61–24–15
34′We said Stuttgarter Kickers at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–24–14
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
45′HALF-TIME Eintracht Trier 1–0 Stuttgarter Kickers
46′SECOND HALF Eintracht Trier 1–0 Stuttgarter Kickers
51′We said Stuttgarter Kickers at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–24–9
67′We said Stuttgarter Kickers at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 75–20–4
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Stuttgarter Kickers win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
94′Eintracht Trier find the net on 90′. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Eintracht Trier 2–0 Stuttgarter Kickers
FTFULL TIME Eintracht Trier 2–0 Stuttgarter Kickers
FTEintracht Trier 2–0 Stuttgarter Kickers · Stuttgarter Kickers win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stuttgarter Kickers are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eintracht Trier 29%, draw 27%, Stuttgarter Kickers 44%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Eintracht Trier v Stuttgarter KickersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Eintracht Trier win29%

Draw27%

Stuttgarter Kickers win44%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundSudwest · matchday 13

VenueMoselstadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eintracht Trier

Stuttgarter Kickers

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	12	+6	23
8	Eintracht Trier	12	−3	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stuttgarter kickers winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

44% The market40%

Us44%

~~Market~~40%

We make Stuttgarter Kickers a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eintracht Trier v Stuttgarter Kickers~~1.18 – 1.51

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 19 v 23~~8 v 4

~~The market · Stuttgarter Kickers win~~40% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Stuttgarter Kickers win The market, margin stripped

Published at 45%, 44% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eintracht Trier win	29%	33%	−4
Draw	27%	27%	0
Stuttgarter Kickers win	44%	40%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	50%	56%	−6
Both teams to score	54%	60%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	75%	77%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	29%	35%	−6
Eintracht Trier or draw	56%	60%	−4
Eintracht Trier clean sheet	22%	–	–
Stuttgarter Kickers clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 7.6 9.6 7.7 3.9 1 7.4 12.6 8.9 4.5 2 4.8 7.0 5.3 2.7 3 2.8 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eintracht Trier down, Stuttgarter Kickers across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,675 Regionalliga - SudWest matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - SudWest matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.2% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eintracht Trier at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Stuttgarter Kickers away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Eintracht Trier, 1.51 for Stuttgarter Kickers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~EIN 2–4 STU · STU 1–1 EIN · STU 3–2 EIN · EIN 0–6 STU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 12 Sept

EINTRACHT TRIER

WLWLLW3–0 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 3–2

STUTTGARTER KICKERS

WWDWLW2–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	SGV Freiberg	13	+19	27
2	VfR Aalen	12	+11	24
3	VfR Mannheim	12	+11	23
4	Stuttgarter Kickers	12	+6	23
5	Kickers Offenbach	13	+6	21
6	FC 08 Homburg	12	+1	19
7	SV Sandhausen	12	−1	19
8	Eintracht Trier	12	−3	19
9	Freiburg II	12	+5	17
10	TSV Steinbach	12	+2	16
11	Hessen Kassel	12	−4	14
12	FSV Frankfurt	12	−2	13
13	Eintracht Frankfurt II	11	−2	13
14	FSV Mainz 05 II	12	−11	11
15	Kaiserslautern II	13	−13	11
16	FC Astoria Walldorf	12	−5	10
17	SSV Ulm 1846	12	−7	9
18	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.	12	−13	6