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Eintracht Trier v FSV Frankfurt
Eintracht Trier
FSV FrankfurtRegionalliga - SudWest · SUN 18 OCT · Moselstadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FSV Frankfurt win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: FSV Frankfurt was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 32–26–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Eintracht Trier v FSV Frankfurt
- 25′A goal for FSV Frankfurt on 25′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–70
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Eintracht Trier 0–1 FSV Frankfurt
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' FSV Frankfurt win: 42% at kick-off, 70% now
- 26′We published FSV Frankfurt at 42%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 11–19–70
- 29′A. Suljic scores for FSV Frankfurt on 11′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–70
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–70
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' FSV Frankfurt win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Eintracht Trier 0–1 FSV Frankfurt
- 46′SECOND HALF Eintracht Trier 0–1 FSV Frankfurt
- 55′We published FSV Frankfurt at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
- 68′We published FSV Frankfurt at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 71′FSV Frankfurt find the net on 71′. 1–2. 1–2 · 2–16–82
- 71′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 2–16–82
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Eintracht Trier 1–2 FSV Frankfurt
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Eintracht Trier 1–2 FSV Frankfurt
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' FSV Frankfurt win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
- 74′A goal for Eintracht Trier on 74′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 16–64–20
- 74′We said FSV Frankfurt at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 2–2 · 16–64–20
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Eintracht Trier 2–2 FSV Frankfurt
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' FSV Frankfurt win: 42% at kick-off, 20% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was FSV Frankfurt win 20%)
- 75′T. Sausen scores for Eintracht Trier on 73′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 16–65–19
- 75′We said FSV Frankfurt at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 16–65–19
- 75′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 16–65–19
- 80′We said FSV Frankfurt at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 12–74–14
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' FSV Frankfurt win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 84′We said FSV Frankfurt at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
- 90′Eintracht Trier score on 90′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 95–5–0
- 90′We said FSV Frankfurt at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
- 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 95–5–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Eintracht Trier 3–2 FSV Frankfurt
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' FSV Frankfurt win: 42% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Eintracht Trier win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
- FTFULL TIME Eintracht Trier 3–2 FSV Frankfurt
- FTEintracht Trier 3–2 FSV Frankfurt · FSV Frankfurt win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FSV Frankfurt are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Eintracht Trier 32%, draw 26%, FSV Frankfurt 42%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Eintracht Trier win32%
FSV Frankfurt win42%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00
RoundSudwest · matchday 12
VenueMoselstadion
Match timeline
All events
Eintracht TrierMIN
FSV FrankfurtEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Eintracht Trier
FSV Frankfurt
Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Last match: 14 Oct · Regionalliga - SudWest
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make FSV Frankfurt a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Trier win | 32% | 39% | −7 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| FSV Frankfurt win | 42% | 34% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 78% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Eintracht Trier or draw | 58% | 66% | −8 |
| Eintracht Trier clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| FSV Frankfurt clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - SudWest this season · since 8 Sept
EINTRACHT TRIER
FSV FRANKFURT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 12 | +19 | 26 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 12 | +11 | 24 |
| 3 | VfR Mannheim | 12 | +11 | 23 |
| 4 | Stuttgarter Kickers | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Kickers Offenbach | 12 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | SV Sandhausen | 12 | −1 | 19 |
| 7 | Freiburg II | 10 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 | TSV Steinbach | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | FC 08 Homburg | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 11 | −4 | 16 |
| 11 | Hessen Kassel | 12 | −4 | 14 |
| 12 | FSV Frankfurt | 11 | −1 | 13 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 11 | −2 | 13 |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 12 | −11 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 12 | −5 | 10 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 12 | −13 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 12 | −7 | 9 |
| 18 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. | 12 | −13 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
SGV Freiberg
VfR Aalen
VfR Mannheim
Stuttgarter Kickers
Kickers Offenbach
SV Sandhausen
Freiburg II
TSV Steinbach
FC 08 Homburg
Hessen Kassel
Eintracht Frankfurt II
FSV Mainz 05 II
FC Astoria Walldorf
Kaiserslautern II
SSV Ulm 1846
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.