Tasmania Berlin v SV Babelsberg 03

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SV Babelsberg 03 win at 64%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: SV Babelsberg 03 was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 65% now. 0–0 · 17–17–65
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tasmania Berlin v SV Babelsberg 03
4. 8′Tasmania Berlin score on 7′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 36–22–42
5. 8′We said SV Babelsberg 03 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 1–0 · 36–22–42
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Tasmania Berlin 1–0 SV Babelsberg 03
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' SV Babelsberg 03 win: 64% at kick-off, 42% now
8. 11′Tasmania Berlin find the net on 11′. 2–0. 2–0 · 59–19–23
9. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Tasmania Berlin 2–0 SV Babelsberg 03
10. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' SV Babelsberg 03 win: 64% at kick-off, 23% now
11. 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Tasmania Berlin win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was SV Babelsberg 03 win 23%)
12. 12′We said SV Babelsberg 03 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 2–0 · 59–19–22
13. 15′A goal for Tasmania Berlin on 14′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 79–12–9
14. 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Tasmania Berlin 3–0 SV Babelsberg 03
15. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' SV Babelsberg 03 win: 64% at kick-off, 9% now
16. 16′We said SV Babelsberg 03 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 3–0 · 79–12–9
17. 36′We said SV Babelsberg 03 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 3–0 · 87–8–4
18. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' SV Babelsberg 03 win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
19. 42′Tasmania Berlin score on 42′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 97–2–1
20. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Tasmania Berlin 4–0 SV Babelsberg 03
21. 45′HALF-TIME Tasmania Berlin 4–0 SV Babelsberg 03
22. 46′41′: E. Berko on the scoresheet for Tasmania Berlin, making it 4–0. 4–0 · 97–2–1
23. 46′SECOND HALF Tasmania Berlin 4–0 SV Babelsberg 03
24. 49′Tasmania Berlin find the net on 48′. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
25. 49′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
26. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Tasmania Berlin 5–0 SV Babelsberg 03
27. 50′A red card for SV Babelsberg 03 on 45′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 4–0 · 98–2–0 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
28. 50′🟥 RED CARD · 45+5' SV Babelsberg 03
29. 53′A goal for Tasmania Berlin on 53′ — 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
30. 53′6 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 6–0 · 100–0–0
31. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Tasmania Berlin 6–0 SV Babelsberg 03
32. 81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Tasmania Berlin
33. 82′Red cards for both sides: Tasmania Berlin down to ten, SV Babelsberg 03 to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 6–0 · 100–0–0
34. FTFULL TIME Tasmania Berlin 6–0 SV Babelsberg 03
35. FTTasmania Berlin 6–0 SV Babelsberg 03 · SV Babelsberg 03 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.