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Magdeburg II v Greifswalder FC
Magdeburg II
Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Greifswalder FC win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Greifswalder FC 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 37–24–39
- 1′KICK-OFF Magdeburg II v Greifswalder FC
- 45′HALF-TIME Magdeburg II 0–0 Greifswalder FC
- 46′SECOND HALF Magdeburg II 0–0 Greifswalder FC
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Greifswalder FC win 32%)
- 49′A goal for Greifswalder FC on 48′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 9–21–69
- 49′We said Greifswalder FC at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 9–21–69
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Magdeburg II 0–1 Greifswalder FC
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Greifswalder FC win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Greifswalder FC win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 21%)
- 50′We said Greifswalder FC at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
- 55′R. Leipertz scores for Greifswalder FC on 49′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–21–71
- 56′Magdeburg II score on 56′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 29–42–30
- 56′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–1 · 29–42–30
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Magdeburg II 1–1 Greifswalder FC
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Greifswalder FC win: 39% at kick-off, 30% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Greifswalder FC win 30%)
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Greifswalder FC win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 60′55′: E. Widmann on the scoresheet for Magdeburg II, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 27–45–28
- 62′We said Greifswalder FC at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 26–46–27
- 67′Magdeburg II find the net on 66′. 2–1. 2–1 · 75–20–5
- 67′We said Greifswalder FC at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Magdeburg II 2–1 Greifswalder FC
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Greifswalder FC win: 39% at kick-off, 5% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Magdeburg II win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
- 69′We said Greifswalder FC at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–19–4
- 70′A goal for Magdeburg II on 69′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 96–3–0
- 70′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 96–3–0
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Magdeburg II 3–1 Greifswalder FC
- 76′Magdeburg II score on 76′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 76′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Magdeburg II 4–1 Greifswalder FC
- 86′Greifswalder FC find the net on 85′. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 86′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Magdeburg II 4–2 Greifswalder FC
- FTFULL TIME Magdeburg II 4–2 Greifswalder FC
- FTMagdeburg II 4–2 Greifswalder FC · Greifswalder FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Greifswalder FC just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Magdeburg II 37%, draw 24%, Greifswalder FC 39%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Magdeburg II win37%
Greifswalder FC win39%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00
RoundNordost · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
Magdeburg IIMIN
Greifswalder FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Magdeburg II
Greifswalder FC
Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - Nordost
Last match: 11 Oct · Regionalliga - Nordost
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Greifswalder FC a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg II win | 37% | 33% | +4 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| Greifswalder FC win | 39% | 42% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 60% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 37% | +4 |
| Magdeburg II or draw | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Magdeburg II clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Greifswalder FC clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nordost this season · since 30 Aug
MAGDEBURG II
GREIFSWALDER FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chemnitzer FC | 12 | +22 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 13 | +23 | 28 |
| 3 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 13 | +11 | 25 |
| 4 | Hallescher FC | 12 | +10 | 25 |
| 5 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 7 | Greifswalder FC | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 | Erzgebirge Aue | 12 | +3 | 21 |
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 13 | −2 | 19 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 12 | −4 | 13 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 13 | −9 | 13 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 13 | −5 | 11 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | −7 | 10 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 13 | −13 | 10 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 13 | −16 | 9 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 13 | −19 | 8 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 13 | −18 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Chemnitzer FC
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Hallescher FC
BFC Dynamo
Altglienicke
Erzgebirge Aue
FSV Zwickau
Lokomotive Leipzig
SV Babelsberg 03
BFC Preussen
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Hertha BSC II
RSV Eintracht
Tasmania Berlin
Luckenwalde