Luckenwalde v FC Carl Zeiss Jena

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Carl Zeiss Jena win at 57%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Carl Zeiss Jena was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 19–24–57
3. 1′KICK-OFF Luckenwalde v FC Carl Zeiss Jena
4. 28′Luckenwalde find the net on 28′. 1–0. 1–0 · 50–27–23
5. 28′We said FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–0 · 50–27–23
6. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Luckenwalde 1–0 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
7. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win: 57% at kick-off, 23% now
8. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Luckenwalde win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was FC Carl Zeiss Jena win 23%)
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 50–27–23
10. 38′We said FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 53–28–19
11. 38′A goal for FC Carl Zeiss Jena on 38′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 19–34–47
12. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Luckenwalde 1–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
13. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
14. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Luckenwalde win 19%)
15. 42′We said FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 1–1 · 18–36–45
16. 45′We said FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 18–38–44
17. 45′HALF-TIME Luckenwalde 1–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
18. 46′SECOND HALF Luckenwalde 1–1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
19. 55′We said FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 17–44–39
20. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was FC Carl Zeiss Jena win 39%)
21. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
22. 61′FC Carl Zeiss Jena score on 61′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 2–14–84
23. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Luckenwalde 1–2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
24. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win: 57% at kick-off, 84% now
25. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
26. 62′We published FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
27. 62′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 2–13–85
28. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win: 57% at kick-off, 87% now
29. 76′We published FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
30. 84′We published FC Carl Zeiss Jena at 57%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
31. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' FC Carl Zeiss Jena win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
32. FTFULL TIME Luckenwalde 1–2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
33. FTLuckenwalde 1–2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena · FC Carl Zeiss Jena win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.