Hertha BSC II v RSV Eintracht prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01

Hertha BSC II 0–1 RSV Eintracht HERTHA BSC II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hertha BSC II win~~51%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.844

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.721

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hertha BSC II win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: Hertha BSC II was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–22–27
1′KICK-OFF Hertha BSC II v RSV Eintracht
45′HALF-TIME Hertha BSC II 0–0 RSV Eintracht
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hertha BSC II win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
46′SECOND HALF Hertha BSC II 0–0 RSV Eintracht
51′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–37–24
56′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 37–40–23
57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Hertha BSC II win 36%)
61′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Hertha BSC II win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
69′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–19
74′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Hertha BSC II win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
79′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–13
82′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Hertha BSC II win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
87′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
92′We said Hertha BSC II at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
92′A goal for RSV Eintracht on 90′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–4–96
92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Hertha BSC II 0–1 RSV Eintracht
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Hertha BSC II win: 51% at kick-off, under 1% now
92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' RSV Eintracht win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
FTFULL TIME Hertha BSC II 0–1 RSV Eintracht
FTHertha BSC II 0–1 RSV Eintracht · Hertha BSC II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hertha BSC II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hertha BSC II 51%, draw 22%, RSV Eintracht 27%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Hertha BSC II v RSV EintrachtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Hertha BSC II win51%

Draw22%

RSV Eintracht win27%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00

RoundNordost · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hertha BSC II

RSV Eintracht

6Days since last match5

Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - Nordost

Last match: 11 Oct · Regionalliga - Nordost

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Hertha BSC II	12	−12	10
16	RSV Eintracht	12	−17	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hertha bsc ii winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

51% The market44%

Us51%

~~Market~~44%

We make Hertha BSC II a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hertha BSC II v RSV Eintracht~~1.99 – 1.39

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nordost this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 10 v 6~~14 v 16

~~The market · Hertha BSC II win~~44% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hertha BSC II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hertha BSC II win	51%	44%	+7
Draw	22%	24%	−2
RSV Eintracht win	27%	32%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	65%	58%	+7
Both teams to score	64%	61%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	36%	+8
Hertha BSC II or draw	73%	68%	+5
Hertha BSC II clean sheet	25%	–	–
RSV Eintracht clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 4.0 4.5 3.4 1 6.5 9.7 6.5 3.0 2 6.7 9.1 6.3 3.0 3 4.4 6.0 4.2 4 2.3 3.0 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hertha BSC II down, RSV Eintracht across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,712 Regionalliga - Nordost matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Nordost matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.1% of games this season, across 108 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Hertha BSC II at home: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). RSV Eintracht away: 0.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.99 goals for Hertha BSC II, 1.39 for RSV Eintracht. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nordost this season · since 29 Aug

HERTHA BSC II

LLLWDD0–2 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

RSV EINTRACHT

LLLLLL2–4 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Chemnitzer FC	12	+22	29
2	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	12	+23	27
3	Hallescher FC	12	+10	25
4	BFC Dynamo	12	+9	24
5	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	12	+10	22
6	Greifswalder FC	12	+8	22
7	Altglienicke	12	+5	21
8	Erzgebirge Aue	12	+3	21
9	FSV Zwickau	12	−2	18
10	Lokomotive Leipzig	12	0	16
11	SV Babelsberg 03	12	−3	13
12	Magdeburg II	12	−4	13
13	BFC Preussen	12	−3	11
14	Hertha BSC II	12	−12	10
15	BSG Chemie Leipzig	12	−7	9
16	RSV Eintracht	12	−17	6
17	Luckenwalde	12	−17	6
18	Tasmania Berlin	12	−25	5