Hallescher FC v RSV Eintracht prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Hallescher FC 1–0 RSV Eintracht HALLESCHER FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hallescher FC win~~73%

~~The market said~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.112

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.077

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hallescher FC win at 73%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Hallescher FC 73% before kick-off, 74% now. 0–0 · 74–16–11
1′KICK-OFF Hallescher FC v RSV Eintracht
2′Little has changed for our model: Hallescher FC 73% before kick-off, 73% now. 0–0 · 73–16–11
27′RSV Eintracht are down to ten from 27′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 66–22–12
27′🟥 RED CARD · 27' RSV Eintracht
45′RSV Eintracht are down to ten from 27′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 58–29–13
45′We said Hallescher FC at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 0–0 · 58–29–13
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hallescher FC win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hallescher FC win: 73% at kick-off, 66% now
45′HALF-TIME Hallescher FC 0–0 RSV Eintracht
46′SECOND HALF Hallescher FC 0–0 RSV Eintracht
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Hallescher FC 1–0 RSV Eintracht
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Hallescher FC win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Hallescher FC win: 73% at kick-off, 58% now
81′🟥 RED CARD · 80' RSV Eintracht
FTFULL TIME Hallescher FC 1–0 RSV Eintracht
FTHallescher FC 1–0 RSV Eintracht · Hallescher FC win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Hallescher FC win73%

Draw16%

RSV Eintracht win11%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

VenueLeuna Chemie Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hallescher FC

RSV Eintracht

15Days since last match15

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Hallescher FC	11	+9	22
16	RSV Eintracht	11	−16	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hallescher fc winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

73% The market77%

Us73%

~~Market~~77%

We make Hallescher FC a 73% chance to win. The market has them at 77%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.6–0.9.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hallescher FC win	73%	77%	−4
Draw	16%	13%	+3
RSV Eintracht win	11%	10%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	65%	−11
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	63%	−17
Hallescher FC or draw	89%	90%	−1
Hallescher FC clean sheet	41%	–	–
RSV Eintracht clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.1%

0123450 3.6 2.6 1 7.8 7.4 3.2 2 10.1 8.9 4.0 3 8.7 7.6 3.4 4 5.7 5.0 2.2 5 3.0 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Hallescher FC down, RSV Eintracht across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,708 Regionalliga - Nordost matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - Nordost matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.5% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Hallescher FC at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). RSV Eintracht away: 1.00 scored, 3.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.60 goals for Hallescher FC, 0.90 for RSV Eintracht. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nordost

HALLESCHER FC

WWDWWW2–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 3–2

RSV EINTRACHT

LLLLLL1–2 · 2–4 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	11	+25	27
2	Chemnitzer FC	11	+20	26
3	BFC Dynamo	12	+9	24
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	12	+10	22
5	Hallescher FC	11	+9	22
6	Altglienicke	12	+5	21
7	Erzgebirge Aue	11	+4	21
8	Greifswalder FC	11	+7	19
9	FSV Zwickau	12	−2	18
10	Lokomotive Leipzig	11	0	15
11	Magdeburg II	12	−4	13
12	SV Babelsberg 03	11	−3	12
13	BFC Preussen	12	−3	11
14	Hertha BSC II	12	−12	10
15	BSG Chemie Leipzig	12	−7	9
16	RSV Eintracht	11	−16	6
17	Luckenwalde	12	−17	6
18	Tasmania Berlin	12	−25	5