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FSV Zwickau v Tasmania Berlin
Regionalliga - Nordost · FRI 9 OCT · GGZ-Arena Zwickau
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FSV Zwickau win at 74%.
- 29′Little has changed for our model: FSV Zwickau 74% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 67–20–12
- 41′We said FSV Zwickau at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 62%. 0–0 · 62–25–13
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' FSV Zwickau win: 74% at kick-off, 62% now
- 45′HALF-TIME FSV Zwickau 0–0 Tasmania Berlin
- 46′SECOND HALF FSV Zwickau 0–0 Tasmania Berlin
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' FSV Zwickau 1–0 Tasmania Berlin
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 95' FSV Zwickau 2–0 Tasmania Berlin
- FTFSV Zwickau 2–0 Tasmania Berlin · FSV Zwickau win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 18:00
Venue · GGZ-Arena Zwickau
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make FSV Zwickau a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.9–1.0.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Zwickau win | 74% | 57% | +16 |
| Draw | 15% | 19% | −5 |
| Tasmania Berlin win | 12% | 23% | −12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 72% | −12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| FSV Zwickau or draw | 88% | 77% | +12 |
| FSV Zwickau clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Tasmania Berlin clean sheet | 6% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nordost
FSV ZWICKAU
TASMANIA BERLIN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 11 | +25 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 11 | +20 | 26 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 | Erzgebirge Aue | 11 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 11 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 11 | −4 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | −3 | 13 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 11 | −3 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | −3 | 10 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 11 | −5 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 11 | −12 | 9 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 11 | −16 | 6 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 11 | −23 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 11 | −19 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.