FSV Zwickau v Erzgebirge Aue

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FSV Zwickau win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FSV Zwickau 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–26–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF FSV Zwickau v Erzgebirge Aue
4. 32′Erzgebirge Aue score on 32′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–23–62
5. 32′We said FSV Zwickau at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–23–62
6. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' FSV Zwickau 0–1 Erzgebirge Aue
7. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' FSV Zwickau win: 43% at kick-off, 15% now
8. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Erzgebirge Aue win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was FSV Zwickau win 38%)
9. 33′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 15–23–62
10. 34′We said FSV Zwickau at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–62
11. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' FSV Zwickau win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME FSV Zwickau 0–1 Erzgebirge Aue
13. 46′SECOND HALF FSV Zwickau 0–1 Erzgebirge Aue
14. 52′We said FSV Zwickau at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–67
15. 68′We said FSV Zwickau at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
16. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' FSV Zwickau win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
17. 74′Erzgebirge Aue find the net on 74′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–97
18. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' FSV Zwickau 0–2 Erzgebirge Aue
19. 94′A goal for Erzgebirge Aue on 90′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
20. 94′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
21. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' FSV Zwickau 0–3 Erzgebirge Aue
22. FTFULL TIME FSV Zwickau 0–3 Erzgebirge Aue
23. FTFSV Zwickau 0–3 Erzgebirge Aue · FSV Zwickau win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.