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Chemnitzer FC v Magdeburg II
Chemnitzer FC
Magdeburg IIRegionalliga - Nordost · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Chemnitzer FC win at 58%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Chemnitzer FC was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–21–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Chemnitzer FC v Magdeburg II
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Chemnitzer FC win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
- 44′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–32–21
- 45′HALF-TIME Chemnitzer FC 0–0 Magdeburg II
- 46′SECOND HALF Chemnitzer FC 0–0 Magdeburg II
- 49′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–35–21
- 55′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 41–39–20
- 59′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–19
- 60′Chemnitzer FC find the net on 60′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–15–4
- 60′We published Chemnitzer FC at 58%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–15–4
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Chemnitzer FC win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Chemnitzer FC 1–0 Magdeburg II
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Chemnitzer FC win: 58% at kick-off, 81% now
- 68′A goal for Magdeburg II on 68′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 32–51–17
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Chemnitzer FC 1–1 Magdeburg II
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Chemnitzer FC win: 58% at kick-off, 32% now
- 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Chemnitzer FC win 83%)
- 69′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–52–16
- 72′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Chemnitzer FC win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
- 76′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
- 80′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
- 82′Magdeburg II score on 81′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 1–14–84
- 82′We said Chemnitzer FC at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–2 · 1–14–84
- 82′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–2 · 1–14–84
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Chemnitzer FC 1–2 Magdeburg II
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Chemnitzer FC win: 58% at kick-off, 1% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Magdeburg II win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 71%)
- FTFULL TIME Chemnitzer FC 1–2 Magdeburg II
- FTChemnitzer FC 1–2 Magdeburg II · Chemnitzer FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Chemnitzer FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Chemnitzer FC 58%, draw 21%, Magdeburg II 22%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Chemnitzer FC win58%
Magdeburg II win22%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundNordost · matchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Chemnitzer FCMIN
Magdeburg IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Chemnitzer FC
Magdeburg II
Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - Nordost
Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - Nordost
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Chemnitzer FC a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chemnitzer FC win | 58% | 64% | −6 |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | +1 |
| Magdeburg II win | 22% | 16% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 66% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 60% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 84% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 45% | 0 |
| Chemnitzer FC or draw | 78% | 84% | −6 |
| Chemnitzer FC clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Magdeburg II clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nordost this season · since 11 Sept
CHEMNITZER FC
MAGDEBURG II
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chemnitzer FC | 13 | +22 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 13 | +23 | 28 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 13 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 | Altglienicke | 14 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 14 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 | BFC Dynamo | 14 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 | Greifswalder FC | 13 | +6 | 22 |
| 8 | Erzgebirge Aue | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 13 | −2 | 19 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 14 | −8 | 16 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 14 | −6 | 11 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 13 | −7 | 10 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 13 | −13 | 10 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 13 | −16 | 9 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 13 | −19 | 8 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 14 | −20 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Hallescher FC
Altglienicke
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
BFC Dynamo
Greifswalder FC
Erzgebirge Aue
FSV Zwickau
Lokomotive Leipzig
SV Babelsberg 03
BFC Preussen
BSG Chemie Leipzig
Hertha BSC II
RSV Eintracht
Tasmania Berlin
Luckenwalde