Werder Bremen II v Kickers Emden

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Werder Bremen II win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Werder Bremen II was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–21–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Werder Bremen II v Kickers Emden
4. 9′Kickers Emden score on 8′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 22–18–60
5. 9′We said Werder Bremen II at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–18–60
6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Werder Bremen II 0–1 Kickers Emden
7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 22% now
8. 9′THE CALL SWINGS · 9' Kickers Emden win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Werder Bremen II win 40%)
9. 11′9′: L. Ihorst on the scoresheet for Kickers Emden, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 22–19–60
10. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
11. 23′We said Werder Bremen II at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–20–61
12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 0–1 · 18–20–62
13. 44′We said Werder Bremen II at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–64
14. 45′Werder Bremen II find the net on 44′. 1–1. 1–1 · 36–31–33
15. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Werder Bremen II 1–1 Kickers Emden
16. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 36% now
17. 45′HALF-TIME Werder Bremen II 1–1 Kickers Emden
18. 46′SECOND HALF Werder Bremen II 1–1 Kickers Emden
19. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Kickers Emden win 64%)
20. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
21. 63′A goal for Kickers Emden on 62′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 8–22–70
22. 63′We said Werder Bremen II at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–22–70
23. 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Werder Bremen II 1–2 Kickers Emden
24. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 8% now
25. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Kickers Emden win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 41%)
26. 71′Werder Bremen II score on 70′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 25–51–24
27. 71′We said Werder Bremen II at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 25–51–24
28. 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Werder Bremen II 2–2 Kickers Emden
29. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 25% now
30. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Kickers Emden win 74%)
31. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
32. 81′Werder Bremen II find the net on 80′. 3–2. 3–2 · 85–13–1
33. 81′We published Werder Bremen II at 41%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–2 · 85–13–1
34. 81′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 85–13–1
35. 81′⚽ GOAL · 80' Werder Bremen II 3–2 Kickers Emden
36. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 85% now
37. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Werder Bremen II win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 67%)
38. 85′We published Werder Bremen II at 41%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
39. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Werder Bremen II win: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
40. 91′We published Werder Bremen II at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
41. FTFULL TIME Werder Bremen II 3–2 Kickers Emden
42. FTWerder Bremen II 3–2 Kickers Emden · Werder Bremen II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.