Weiche Flensburg v Kickers Emden prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Weiche FlensburgDrawKickers Emden

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Weiche Flensburg 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Weiche Flensburg are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Weiche Flensburg 57%, draw 19%, Kickers Emden 24%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Weiche Flensburg v Kickers EmdenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Weiche Flensburg win57%

Draw19%

Kickers Emden win24%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundNorth · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Weiche Flensburg

Kickers Emden

15Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

Last match: 24 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · weiche flensburg winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Weiche Flensburg a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Weiche Flensburg v Kickers Emden~~2.62 – 1.65

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 16 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 34 v 19~~1 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Weiche Flensburg win	57%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Kickers Emden win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Weiche Flensburg or draw	76%	–	–
Weiche Flensburg clean sheet	20%	–	–
Kickers Emden clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.7%

0123450 2.0 2.1 2.1 1 3.4 6.6 5.1 2.8 2 4.8 7.7 6.3 3.5 3 4.1 6.6 5.3 3.0 4 2.7 4.3 3.5 5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Weiche Flensburg down, Kickers Emden across0–5 goals a side shown (93.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,584 Regionalliga - Nord matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.6% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Weiche Flensburg at home: 2.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Kickers Emden away: 2.00 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.62 goals for Weiche Flensburg, 1.65 for Kickers Emden. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~WEI 0–1 KIC · KIC 3–2 WEI · KIC 4–0 WEI · WEI 1–3 KIC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 16 Sept

WEICHE FLENSBURG

LLWWWW1–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 3–0

KICKERS EMDEN

WWLLDL5–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 2–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	+29	34
2	Hannover 96 II	15	+15	33
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	15	+26	31
4	VfB Oldenburg	14	+22	31
5	Phönix Lübeck	13	+24	27
6	Schöningen	14	−2	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	−1	19
8	Kickers Emden	15	−5	19
9	VfB Lübeck	14	−3	18
10	HSC Hannover	15	−9	17
11	Werder Bremen II	14	−4	15
12	Eimsbütteler TV	14	−14	15
13	SSV Jeddeloh	15	−14	14
14	Eintracht Norderstedt	13	−8	13
15	Hamburger SV II	13	−9	13
16	Todesfelde	15	−25	12
17	St. Pauli II	13	−5	10
18	Bremer SV	13	−17	8