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Hannover 96 II v Schöningen

Hannover 96 II

4–2Full time

Schöningen

Regionalliga - Nord · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Hannover 96 II 4–2 Schöningen HANNOVER 96 II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hannover 96 II win~~66%

~~The market said~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.177

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.406

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hannover 96 II win at 66%.
1′Much as we predicted: Hannover 96 II was 66% before kick-off and our model makes it 65% now. 0–0 · 65–18–16
1′KICK-OFF Hannover 96 II v Schöningen
21′Hannover 96 II find the net on 20′. 1–0. 1–0 · 83–11–6
21′We published Hannover 96 II at 66%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–11–6
21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Hannover 96 II 1–0 Schöningen
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Hannover 96 II win: 66% at kick-off, 83% now
23′Hannover 96 II ahead on 21′ through T. Hobrecht. 1–0. 1–0 · 83–11–6
24′A goal for Hannover 96 II on 23′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–4–1
24′We published Hannover 96 II at 66%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–4–1
24′⚽ GOAL · 23' Hannover 96 II 2–0 Schöningen
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Hannover 96 II win: 66% at kick-off, 94% now
28′We published Hannover 96 II at 66%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
32′Schöningen score on 31′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 83–12–5
32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Hannover 96 II 2–1 Schöningen
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Hannover 96 II win: 66% at kick-off, 82% now
45′HALF-TIME Hannover 96 II 2–1 Schöningen
46′SECOND HALF Hannover 96 II 2–1 Schöningen
49′Schöningen find the net on 48′. 2–2. 2–2 · 51–32–17
49′We said Hannover 96 II at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 51%. 2–2 · 51–32–17
49′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 51–32–17
49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Hannover 96 II 2–2 Schöningen
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Hannover 96 II win: 66% at kick-off, 51% now
52′We said Hannover 96 II at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 2–2 · 49–34–17
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Hannover 96 II win: 66% at kick-off, 46% now
60′We said Hannover 96 II at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–40–16
61′A goal for Hannover 96 II on 60′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 84–13–3
61′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 84–13–3
61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Hannover 96 II 3–2 Schöningen
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Hannover 96 II win: 66% at kick-off, 84% now
64′Hannover 96 II score on 63′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 97–2–0
64′6 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 97–2–0
64′⚽ GOAL · 63' Hannover 96 II 4–2 Schöningen
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Hannover 96 II win: 66% at kick-off, 97% now
82′We published Hannover 96 II at 66%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Hannover 96 II 4–2 Schöningen
FTHannover 96 II 4–2 Schöningen · Hannover 96 II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hannover 96 II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hannover 96 II 66%, draw 18%, Schöningen 16%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Hannover 96 II v SchöningenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hannover 96 II win66%

Draw18%

Schöningen win16%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundNorth · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hannover 96 II

Schöningen

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Hannover 96 II	13	+12	27
6	Schöningen	13	0	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hannover 96 ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

66% The market48%

Us66%

~~Market~~48%

We make Hannover 96 II a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 18 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hannover 96 II v Schöningen~~2.54 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 11 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 27 v 24~~3 v 6

~~The market · Hannover 96 II win~~48% · ours 66%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Hannover 96 II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hannover 96 II win	66%	48%	+18
Draw	18%	22%	−4
Schöningen win	16%	30%	−14
Over 2.5 goals	71%	67%	+4
Both teams to score	64%	66%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	45%	+6
Hannover 96 II or draw	84%	70%	+14
Hannover 96 II clean sheet	31%	–	–
Schöningen clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.1 2.5 1 5.8 7.7 4.3 2 7.7 9.0 5.3 2.2 3 6.5 7.5 4.5 4 4.1 4.8 2.8 5 2.2 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hannover 96 II down, Schöningen across0–5 goals a side shown (94.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,573 Regionalliga - Nord matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.6% of games this season, across 115 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hannover 96 II at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Schöningen away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.54 goals for Hannover 96 II, 1.19 for Schöningen. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SCH 3–1 HAN · HAN 3–0 SCH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 11 Sept

HANNOVER 96 II

LDWWWW3–4 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 2–0

SCHÖNINGEN

WWLDLL1–0 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	+29	34
2	SV Drochtersen/Assel	14	+22	28
3	Hannover 96 II	13	+12	27
4	Phönix Lübeck	12	+24	26
5	VfB Oldenburg	12	+20	25
6	Schöningen	13	0	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	−1	19
8	Kickers Emden	13	−4	18
9	HSC Hannover	13	−8	16
10	VfB Lübeck	13	−6	15
11	Eimsbütteler TV	13	−14	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	−7	13
13	Hamburger SV II	12	−8	13
14	Werder Bremen II	12	−4	12
15	Todesfelde	13	−21	11
16	St. Pauli II	12	−2	10
17	SSV Jeddeloh	13	−15	10
18	Bremer SV	13	−17	8