Hamburger SV II v VfB Oldenburg

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said VfB Oldenburg win at 55%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: VfB Oldenburg 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 24–21–55
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hamburger SV II v VfB Oldenburg
4. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' VfB Oldenburg win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Hamburger SV II 0–0 VfB Oldenburg
6. 46′SECOND HALF Hamburger SV II 0–0 VfB Oldenburg
7. 49′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 23–33–43
8. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 22–37–41
9. 58′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 22–39–39
10. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was VfB Oldenburg win 37%)
11. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' VfB Oldenburg win: 55% at kick-off, 35% now
12. 66′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 20–46–34
13. 72′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 17–54–29
14. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' VfB Oldenburg win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
15. 77′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 14–63–23
16. 78′VfB Oldenburg score on 78′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 1–12–87
17. 78′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 0–1 · 1–12–87
18. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Hamburger SV II 0–1 VfB Oldenburg
19. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' VfB Oldenburg win: 55% at kick-off, 87% now
20. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' VfB Oldenburg win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
21. 79′VfB Oldenburg find the net on 79′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
22. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Hamburger SV II 0–2 VfB Oldenburg
23. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' VfB Oldenburg win: 55% at kick-off, 99% now
24. 80′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
25. 84′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
26. 85′A goal for Hamburger SV II on 85′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–93
27. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Hamburger SV II 1–2 VfB Oldenburg
28. 86′We said VfB Oldenburg at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 1–2 · 0–7–93
29. FTFULL TIME Hamburger SV II 1–2 VfB Oldenburg
30. FTHamburger SV II 1–2 VfB Oldenburg · VfB Oldenburg win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.