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Eimsbütteler TV v SSV Jeddeloh

Eimsbütteler TV

1–1Full time

SSV Jeddeloh

Regionalliga - Nord · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Eimsbütteler TV 1–1 SSV Jeddeloh SSV JEDDELOH WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said SSV Jeddeloh win~~49%

~~The market said~~33%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.967

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.885

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said SSV Jeddeloh win at 49%.
1′Much as we predicted: SSV Jeddeloh was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 31–21–49
1′KICK-OFF Eimsbütteler TV v SSV Jeddeloh
41′Eimsbütteler TV score on 41′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 58–23–19
41′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 58–23–19
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Eimsbütteler TV 1–0 SSV Jeddeloh
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' SSV Jeddeloh win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Eimsbütteler TV win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was SSV Jeddeloh win 43%)
45′45′: A. Nishori on the scoresheet for Eimsbütteler TV, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 59–23–18
45′HALF-TIME Eimsbütteler TV 1–0 SSV Jeddeloh
46′SECOND HALF Eimsbütteler TV 1–0 SSV Jeddeloh
54′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 62–24–14
56′SSV Jeddeloh find the net on 55′. 1–1. 1–1 · 27–36–37
56′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 27–36–37
56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Eimsbütteler TV 1–1 SSV Jeddeloh
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' SSV Jeddeloh win: 49% at kick-off, 37% now
62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Eimsbütteler TV win 62%)
63′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 25–41–34
70′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–49–29
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' SSV Jeddeloh win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
76′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 18–58–24
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' SSV Jeddeloh win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
88′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' SSV Jeddeloh win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
93′We said SSV Jeddeloh at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–93–4
FTFULL TIME Eimsbütteler TV 1–1 SSV Jeddeloh
FTEimsbütteler TV 1–1 SSV Jeddeloh · SSV Jeddeloh win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SSV Jeddeloh are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eimsbütteler TV 31%, draw 20%, SSV Jeddeloh 49%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on Eimsbütteler TV v SSV JeddelohBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Eimsbütteler TV win31%

Draw20%

SSV Jeddeloh win49%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundNorth · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eimsbütteler TV

SSV Jeddeloh

14Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Eimsbütteler TV	13	−14	14
14	SSV Jeddeloh	14	−14	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ssv jeddeloh winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

49% The market33%

Us49%

~~Market~~33%

We make SSV Jeddeloh a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–2.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eimsbütteler TV v SSV Jeddeloh~~1.83 – 2.33

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 13~~11 v 14

~~The market · SSV Jeddeloh win~~33% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · SSV Jeddeloh win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eimsbütteler TV win	31%	44%	−13
Draw	20%	23%	−3
SSV Jeddeloh win	49%	33%	+16
Over 2.5 goals	77%	63%	+14
Both teams to score	75%	64%	+11
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	59%	41%	+18
Eimsbütteler TV or draw	51%	67%	−16
Eimsbütteler TV clean sheet	11%	–	–
SSV Jeddeloh clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.6%

0123450 2.2 3.4 4.3 3.3 1 2.6 7.2 7.6 5.8 3.4 2 2.8 6.0 6.8 5.2 3.0 3 3.7 4.1 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eimsbütteler TV down, SSV Jeddeloh across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,579 Regionalliga - Nord matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.2% of games this season, across 121 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eimsbütteler TV at home: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). SSV Jeddeloh away: 1.33 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Eimsbütteler TV, 2.33 for SSV Jeddeloh. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EIM 0–2 SSV · SSV 1–2 EIM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 12 Sept

EIMSBÜTTELER TV

LLDWDL1–3 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–2

SSV JEDDELOH

WWLLLW5–0 · 3–1 · 0–4 · 2–7 · 1–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	+29	34
2	Hannover 96 II	14	+14	30
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	14	+22	28
4	VfB Oldenburg	13	+21	28
5	Phönix Lübeck	13	+24	27
6	Schöningen	14	−2	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	−1	19
8	Kickers Emden	14	−4	19
9	VfB Lübeck	14	−3	18
10	HSC Hannover	14	−8	17
11	Eimsbütteler TV	13	−14	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	−7	13
13	Hamburger SV II	13	−9	13
14	SSV Jeddeloh	14	−14	13
15	Werder Bremen II	13	−5	12
16	Todesfelde	14	−21	12
17	St. Pauli II	13	−5	10
18	Bremer SV	13	−17	8