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Eimsbütteler TV v Hannover 96 II

Eimsbütteler TV

0–2Full time

Hannover 96 II

Regionalliga - Nord · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Eimsbütteler TV 0–2 Hannover 96 II HANNOVER 96 II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hannover 96 II win~~63%

~~The market said~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.203

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.429

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hannover 96 II win at 63%.
1′KICK-OFF Eimsbütteler TV v Hannover 96 II
20′Little has changed for our model: Hannover 96 II 63% before kick-off, 60% now. 0–0 · 19–21–60
45′HALF-TIME Eimsbütteler TV 0–0 Hannover 96 II
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hannover 96 II win: 63% at kick-off, 52% now
46′SECOND HALF Eimsbütteler TV 0–0 Hannover 96 II
50′We said Hannover 96 II at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 19–31–49
71′We said Hannover 96 II at 63%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 16–50–34
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Hannover 96 II win: 63% at kick-off, 34% now
71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Hannover 96 II win 34%)
78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Eimsbütteler TV 0–1 Hannover 96 II
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Eimsbütteler TV 0–2 Hannover 96 II
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Eimsbütteler TV 0–2 Hannover 96 II
FTFULL TIME Eimsbütteler TV 0–2 Hannover 96 II
FTEimsbütteler TV 0–2 Hannover 96 II · Hannover 96 II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Eimsbütteler TV win19%

Draw18%

Hannover 96 II win63%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hannover 96 ii winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

63% The market47%

Us63%

~~Market~~47%

We make Hannover 96 II a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–2.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · hannover 96 ii win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eimsbütteler TV win	19%	33%	−15
Draw	18%	20%	−1
Hannover 96 II win	63%	47%	+16
Over 2.5 goals	75%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	80%	−12
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	56%	66%	−10
Eimsbütteler TV or draw	37%	53%	−16
Eimsbütteler TV clean sheet	8%	–	–
Hannover 96 II clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.4%

0123450 2.5 4.7 6.4 5.5 3.6 1 2.3 7.1 8.4 7.2 4.7 2.62 4.6 5.7 4.9 3.2 3 2.1 2.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eimsbütteler TV down, Hannover 96 II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,563 Regionalliga - Nord matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Regionalliga - Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.6% of games this season, across 105 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eimsbütteler TV at home: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Hannover 96 II away: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Eimsbütteler TV, 2.62 for Hannover 96 II. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HAN 5–0 EIM · EIM 1–1 HAN

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord

EIMSBÜTTELER TV

LLLDWD1–7 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–0

HANNOVER 96 II

WLDWWW3–2 · 3–4 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Weiche Flensburg	12	+22	28
2	SV Drochtersen/Assel	12	+22	25
3	Hannover 96 II	12	+10	24
4	Schöningen	12	+2	24
5	Phönix Lübeck	11	+21	23
6	VfB Oldenburg	11	+16	22
7	Kickers Emden	12	0	18
8	Atlas Delmenhorst	12	−3	16
9	Eimsbütteler TV	12	−12	14
10	Eintracht Norderstedt	11	−4	13
11	HSC Hannover	12	−9	13
12	Werder Bremen II	12	−4	12
13	VfB Lübeck	12	−7	12
14	Todesfelde	12	−17	11
15	St. Pauli II	11	−1	10
16	Hamburger SV II	11	−10	10
17	SSV Jeddeloh	12	−14	10
18	Bremer SV	11	−12	8