Atlas Delmenhorst v VfB Oldenburg prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atlas DelmenhorstDrawVfB Oldenburg

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · VfB Oldenburg 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

VfB Oldenburg are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlas Delmenhorst 22%, draw 21%, VfB Oldenburg 57%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Atlas Delmenhorst v VfB OldenburgBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Atlas Delmenhorst win22%

Draw21%

VfB Oldenburg win57%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundNorth · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlas Delmenhorst

VfB Oldenburg

14Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

Last match: 24 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	VfB Oldenburg	14	+22	31
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	−1	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vfb oldenburg winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make VfB Oldenburg a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atlas Delmenhorst v VfB Oldenburg~~1.30 – 2.21

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 31~~7 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · VfB Oldenburg win

Published at 58%, 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atlas Delmenhorst win	22%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
VfB Oldenburg win	57%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Atlas Delmenhorst or draw	43%	–	–
Atlas Delmenhorst clean sheet	12%	–	–
VfB Oldenburg clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.8 6.2 7.2 5.3 3.0 1 3.5 9.1 9.1 6.6 3.7 2 2.7 5.6 5.9 4.3 2.4 3 2.5 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atlas Delmenhorst down, VfB Oldenburg across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,584 Regionalliga - Nord matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.6% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atlas Delmenhorst at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). VfB Oldenburg away: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Atlas Delmenhorst, 2.21 for VfB Oldenburg. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VFB 1–1 ATL · ATL 1–2 VFB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 11 Sept

ATLAS DELMENHORST

LLDWDW0–3 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

VFB OLDENBURG

WLLWWW4–0 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	+29	34
2	Hannover 96 II	15	+15	33
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	15	+26	31
4	VfB Oldenburg	14	+22	31
5	Phönix Lübeck	13	+24	27
6	Schöningen	14	−2	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	−1	19
8	Kickers Emden	15	−5	19
9	VfB Lübeck	14	−3	18
10	HSC Hannover	15	−9	17
11	Werder Bremen II	14	−4	15
12	Eimsbütteler TV	14	−14	15
13	SSV Jeddeloh	15	−14	14
14	Eintracht Norderstedt	13	−8	13
15	Hamburger SV II	13	−9	13
16	Todesfelde	15	−25	12
17	St. Pauli II	13	−5	10
18	Bremer SV	13	−17	8