Atlas Delmenhorst v Bremer SV prediction · Regionalliga

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01

Atlas Delmenhorst 2–0 Bremer SV ATLAS DELMENHORST WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Atlas Delmenhorst win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.587

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Atlas Delmenhorst win at 38%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Atlas Delmenhorst 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–36
1′KICK-OFF Atlas Delmenhorst v Bremer SV
25′Atlas Delmenhorst find the net on 24′. 1–0. 1–0 · 66–21–13
25′We said Atlas Delmenhorst at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–21–13
25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Atlas Delmenhorst 1–0 Bremer SV
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Atlas Delmenhorst win: 38% at kick-off, 66% now
29′Atlas Delmenhorst ahead on 27′ through Y. Melenivskyi. 1–0. 1–0 · 67–21–12
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 67–21–12
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Atlas Delmenhorst win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
44′We said Atlas Delmenhorst at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
45′HALF-TIME Atlas Delmenhorst 1–0 Bremer SV
46′SECOND HALF Atlas Delmenhorst 1–0 Bremer SV
60′We said Atlas Delmenhorst at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Atlas Delmenhorst win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
70′A goal for Atlas Delmenhorst on 69′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Atlas Delmenhorst 2–0 Bremer SV
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Atlas Delmenhorst win: 38% at kick-off, 97% now
71′We said Atlas Delmenhorst at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–0
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Atlas Delmenhorst win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
76′T. Widiker scores for Atlas Delmenhorst on 70′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
83′We said Atlas Delmenhorst at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Atlas Delmenhorst 2–0 Bremer SV
FTAtlas Delmenhorst 2–0 Bremer SV · Atlas Delmenhorst win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Atlas Delmenhorst just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlas Delmenhorst 38%, draw 27%, Bremer SV 36%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Atlas Delmenhorst v Bremer SVBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Atlas Delmenhorst win38%

Draw27%

Bremer SV win36%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00

RoundNorth · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlas Delmenhorst

Bremer SV

7Days since last match5

Last match: 9 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

Last match: 11 Oct · Regionalliga - Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Atlas Delmenhorst	12	−3	16
18	Bremer SV	12	−15	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atlas delmenhorst winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Atlas Delmenhorst a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atlas Delmenhorst v Bremer SV~~1.43 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 16 v 8~~8 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Atlas Delmenhorst win

Published at 37%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atlas Delmenhorst win	38%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Bremer SV win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Atlas Delmenhorst or draw	64%	–	–
Atlas Delmenhorst clean sheet	26%	–	–
Bremer SV clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.2 7.7 5.8 2.7 1 7.9 12.3 7.9 3.7 2 6.1 8.2 5.6 2.6 3 3.0 4.0 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atlas Delmenhorst down, Bremer SV across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,571 Regionalliga - Nord matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.9% of games this season, across 113 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atlas Delmenhorst at home: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Bremer SV away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Atlas Delmenhorst, 1.38 for Bremer SV. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ATL 1–3 BRE · BRE 2–4 ATL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Nord this season · since 6 Sept

ATLAS DELMENHORST

WLLDWD5–2 · 0–3 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 0–0

BREMER SV

LWLLLL2–3 · 2–0 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Weiche Flensburg	13	+26	31
2	SV Drochtersen/Assel	13	+25	28
3	Hannover 96 II	13	+12	27
4	Phönix Lübeck	12	+24	26
5	VfB Oldenburg	12	+20	25
6	Schöningen	13	0	24
7	Kickers Emden	13	−4	18
8	Atlas Delmenhorst	12	−3	16
9	HSC Hannover	13	−8	16
10	VfB Lübeck	13	−6	15
11	Eimsbütteler TV	13	−14	14
12	Eintracht Norderstedt	12	−7	13
13	Hamburger SV II	12	−8	13
14	Werder Bremen II	12	−4	12
15	Todesfelde	13	−21	11
16	St. Pauli II	12	−2	10
17	SSV Jeddeloh	13	−15	10
18	Bremer SV	12	−15	8