Wacker Burghausen v SpVgg Unterhaching prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Wacker BurghausenDrawSpVgg Unterhaching

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · SpVgg Unterhaching 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SpVgg Unterhaching are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Wacker Burghausen 27%, draw 24%, SpVgg Unterhaching 49%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Wacker Burghausen v SpVgg UnterhachingBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Wacker Burghausen win27%

Draw24%

SpVgg Unterhaching win49%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundBayern · matchday 17

VenueWacker Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wacker Burghausen

SpVgg Unterhaching

7Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

Last match: 24 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	15	+10	28
10	Wacker Burghausen	15	+7	20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spvgg unterhaching winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make SpVgg Unterhaching a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wacker Burghausen v SpVgg Unterhaching~~1.24 – 1.75

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D4 L0

~~Table places · points 20 v 28~~10 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wacker Burghausen win	27%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
SpVgg Unterhaching win	49%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Wacker Burghausen or draw	51%	–	–
Wacker Burghausen clean sheet	18%	–	–
SpVgg Unterhaching clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.4 8.7 7.7 4.5 2.0 1 6.2 10.9 9.3 5.4 2.4 2 4.0 6.7 5.7 3.3 3 2.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wacker Burghausen down, SpVgg Unterhaching across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,822 Regionalliga - Bayern matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Bayern matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 141 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 5 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wacker Burghausen at home: 2.83 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). SpVgg Unterhaching away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Wacker Burghausen, 1.75 for SpVgg Unterhaching. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SPV 4–0 WAC · WAC 1–3 SPV · SPV 0–1 WAC · WAC 3–1 SPV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 19 Sept

WACKER BURGHAUSEN

WWLDDD5–2 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 3–3

SPVGG UNTERHACHING

DDDWDW2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Memmingen	16	+10	33
2	Buchbach	16	+7	29
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	15	+10	28
4	TSV 1860 München	14	+10	24
5	Augsburg II	15	−1	24
6	Illertissen	15	+8	23
7	Bayreuth	15	+8	22
8	Vilzing	14	+1	21
9	Eichstätt	15	−4	21
10	Wacker Burghausen	15	+7	20
11	Nürnberg II	14	+6	20
12	Bayern München II	13	+4	19
13	Eltersdorf	15	−1	18
14	Schwaben Augsburg	15	−9	18
15	FC Schweinfurt 05	15	−10	17
16	Greuther Fürth II	15	−6	13
17	Ansbach	15	−17	12
18	Aubstadt	15	−7	11
19	Landsberg	15	−16	9