TSV 1860 München v Buchbach prediction · Regionalliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TSV 1860 MünchenDrawBuchbach

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · TSV 1860 München 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

TSV 1860 München are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: TSV 1860 München 52%, draw 21%, Buchbach 27%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on TSV 1860 München v BuchbachBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

TSV 1860 München win52%

Draw21%

Buchbach win27%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundBayern · matchday 17

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

TSV 1860 München

Buchbach

12Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

Last match: 23 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Buchbach	16	+7	29
4	TSV 1860 München	14	+10	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tsv 1860 münchen winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make TSV 1860 München a 52% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · TSV 1860 München v Buchbach~~2.16 – 1.53

~~Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 20 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 24 v 29~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
TSV 1860 München win	52%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Buchbach win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
TSV 1860 München or draw	73%	–	–
TSV 1860 München clean sheet	22%	–	–
Buchbach clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%

0123450 2.8 3.8 3.0 1 5.5 8.4 6.2 3.2 2 5.9 8.7 6.5 3.3 3 4.2 6.2 4.7 2.4 4 2.3 3.4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+TSV 1860 München down, Buchbach across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,822 Regionalliga - Bayern matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Regionalliga - Bayern matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.7% of games this season, across 141 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

TSV 1860 München at home: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Buchbach away: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.16 goals for TSV 1860 München, 1.53 for Buchbach. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 20 Sept

TSV 1860 MÜNCHEN

WLWDWL2–0 · 1–3 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–4

BUCHBACH

DLDLLD2–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 3–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Memmingen	16	+10	33
2	Buchbach	16	+7	29
3	SpVgg Unterhaching	14	+9	25
4	TSV 1860 München	14	+10	24
5	Augsburg II	15	−1	24
6	Illertissen	15	+8	23
7	Bayreuth	15	+8	22
8	Vilzing	14	+1	21
9	Eichstätt	15	−4	21
10	Wacker Burghausen	15	+7	20
11	Nürnberg II	14	+6	20
12	Bayern München II	13	+4	19
13	Eltersdorf	15	−1	18
14	Schwaben Augsburg	15	−9	18
15	FC Schweinfurt 05	15	−10	17
16	Greuther Fürth II	15	−6	13
17	Ansbach	14	−16	12
18	Aubstadt	15	−7	11
19	Landsberg	15	−16	9