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SpVgg Unterhaching v Landsberg

SpVgg Unterhaching
4–0Full time
Landsberg

Regionalliga - Bayern · TUE 13 OCT · Uhlsport Park

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 20:46
SpVgg Unterhaching 4–0 Landsberg SPVGG UNTERHACHING WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said SpVgg Unterhaching win72%
The market said71%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.121
The market’s Brier score0.126

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SpVgg Unterhaching win at 72%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: SpVgg Unterhaching 72% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 72–17–11
  3. 1′KICK-OFF SpVgg Unterhaching v Landsberg
  4. 23′23′ and it is 1–0: SpVgg Unterhaching have scored. 1–0 · 88–9–3
  5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' SpVgg Unterhaching 1–0 Landsberg
  6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 72% at kick-off, 88% now
  7. 24′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 1–0 · 88–9–3
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 88–9–3
  9. 34′SpVgg Unterhaching find the net on 33′. 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  10. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' SpVgg Unterhaching 2–0 Landsberg
  11. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 72% at kick-off, 98% now
  12. 35′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  13. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' SpVgg Unterhaching 3–0 Landsberg
  14. 43′A goal for SpVgg Unterhaching on 41′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  15. 44′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  16. 45′HALF-TIME SpVgg Unterhaching 3–0 Landsberg
  17. 46′SECOND HALF SpVgg Unterhaching 3–0 Landsberg
  18. 88′87′ and it is 4–0: SpVgg Unterhaching have scored. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' SpVgg Unterhaching 4–0 Landsberg
  20. 89′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  21. FTFULL TIME SpVgg Unterhaching 4–0 Landsberg
  22. FTSpVgg Unterhaching 4–0 Landsberg · SpVgg Unterhaching win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off

SpVgg Unterhaching win72%
Draw17%
Landsberg win11%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00

VenueUhlsport Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

SpVgg Unterhaching

Landsberg

4Days since last match3
3Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4SpVgg Unterhaching12+521
19Landsberg12−118

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · spvgg unterhaching winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off
72% The market71%
Us72%
Market71%

We make SpVgg Unterhaching a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 71%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.4–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75% 9 OCT 06:1813 OCT 15:26
Our probability · spvgg unterhaching win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 71% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SpVgg Unterhaching win72%71%+1
Draw17%16%+1
Landsberg win11%13%−2
Over 2.5 goals60%72%−12
Both teams to score48%62%−14
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals38%51%−13
SpVgg Unterhaching or draw89%87%+2
SpVgg Unterhaching clean sheet47%––
Landsberg clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.9%
0123450 4.7 3.6 1 10.5 8.0 3.1 2 11.9 9.0 3.5 3 9.3 7.0 2.7 4 5.6 4.1 5 2.7 2.0
under 2% 5% 12%+SpVgg Unterhaching down, Landsberg across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Regionalliga - Bayern since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern

SPVGG UNTERHACHING

WWDDDD3–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

LANDSBERG

LWDLLD1–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–5 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Buchbach13+1428
2Memmingen13+827
3TSV 1860 München12+1121
4SpVgg Unterhaching12+521
5Eichstätt13−121
6Bayreuth13+719
7Illertissen12+519
8Wacker Burghausen13+718
9Vilzing12017
10Nürnberg II12+516
11Bayern München II12+216
12Eltersdorf12+116
13Augsburg II12−815
14FC Schweinfurt 0512−813
15Greuther Fürth II12−312
16Schwaben Augsburg13−1212
17Ansbach12−1610
18Aubstadt12−69
19Landsberg12−118

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.