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SpVgg Unterhaching v Ansbach
SpVgg Unterhaching
AnsbachRegionalliga - Bayern · SAT 24 OCT · Uhlsport Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SpVgg Unterhaching win at 71%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: SpVgg Unterhaching 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–18–12
- 1′KICK-OFF SpVgg Unterhaching v Ansbach
- 14′Ansbach score on 13′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 42–25–33
- 14′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 0–1 · 42–25–33
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' SpVgg Unterhaching 0–1 Ansbach
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 42% now
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 41% now
- 19′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–26–34
- 29′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–28–38
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 34–28–38
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Ansbach win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was SpVgg Unterhaching win 36%)
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 31% now
- 38′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–29–42
- 45′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 55%. 1–1 · 55–32–13
- 45′HALF-TIME SpVgg Unterhaching 1–1 Ansbach
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 55% now
- 46′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–30–46 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 46′SpVgg Unterhaching find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 54–33–13
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' SpVgg Unterhaching 1–1 Ansbach
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 54% now
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' SpVgg Unterhaching win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Ansbach win 46%)
- 46′SECOND HALF SpVgg Unterhaching 1–1 Ansbach
- 47′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–33–13
- 51′A goal for SpVgg Unterhaching on 51′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 87–11–2
- 51′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–1 · 87–11–2
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 51% now
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' SpVgg Unterhaching 2–1 Ansbach
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 87% now
- 69′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' SpVgg Unterhaching win: 71% at kick-off, 91% now
- 83′We said SpVgg Unterhaching at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME SpVgg Unterhaching 2–1 Ansbach
- FTSpVgg Unterhaching 2–1 Ansbach · SpVgg Unterhaching win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
SpVgg Unterhaching are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SpVgg Unterhaching 71%, draw 18%, Ansbach 12%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
SpVgg Unterhaching win71%
Ansbach win12%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundBayern · matchday 16
VenueUhlsport Park
Match timeline
All events
SpVgg UnterhachingMIN
AnsbachEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SpVgg Unterhaching
Ansbach
Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern
Last match: 17 Oct · Regionalliga - Bayern
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make SpVgg Unterhaching a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.3–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching win | 71% | 66% | +5 |
| Draw | 18% | 19% | −1 |
| Ansbach win | 12% | 15% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 64% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 57% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 82% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 44% | −6 |
| SpVgg Unterhaching or draw | 88% | 85% | +3 |
| SpVgg Unterhaching clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| Ansbach clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Regionalliga - Bayern this season · since 19 Sept
SPVGG UNTERHACHING
ANSBACH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memmingen | 16 | +10 | 33 |
| 2 | Buchbach | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 3 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 14 | +9 | 25 |
| 4 | TSV 1860 München | 14 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Illertissen | 14 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 | Bayreuth | 15 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 | Vilzing | 14 | +1 | 21 |
| 8 | Augsburg II | 14 | −2 | 21 |
| 9 | Eichstätt | 15 | −4 | 21 |
| 10 | Wacker Burghausen | 15 | +7 | 20 |
| 11 | Nürnberg II | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 12 | Bayern München II | 13 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 | Eltersdorf | 15 | −1 | 18 |
| 14 | FC Schweinfurt 05 | 15 | −10 | 17 |
| 15 | Schwaben Augsburg | 14 | −11 | 15 |
| 16 | Greuther Fürth II | 14 | −4 | 13 |
| 17 | Ansbach | 14 | −16 | 12 |
| 18 | Aubstadt | 14 | −7 | 10 |
| 19 | Landsberg | 15 | −16 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Memmingen
Buchbach
TSV 1860 München
Illertissen
Bayreuth
Vilzing
Augsburg II
Eichstätt
Wacker Burghausen
Nürnberg II
Bayern München II
Eltersdorf
FC Schweinfurt 05
Schwaben Augsburg
Greuther Fürth II
Aubstadt
Landsberg